Germany's DIHK lifts forecast, sees economic stagnation in 2023

Kitco Media
By Reuters
Published:
Updated:
Reuters
BERLIN, Feb 9 (Reuters) - The German economy will stagnate this year, the DIHK Chambers of Commerce and Industry said on Thursday, revising upwards its forecast for Europe's biggest economy which it had previously expected to contract by 3.0%. Consumer prices exploded last year due to soaring gas prices caused by the war in Ukraine and supply bottlenecks and the government and economists saw no way to avoid recession. However, a 200-billion euro relief package to shield consumers from surging energy prices, a mild winter and a readiness to save energy have changed the picture. "The good news is that the German economy was able to avert a crash that threatened," said DIHK Managing Director Martin Wansleben in a presentation of the new forecasts. "Instead of a deep recession, we are more likely to see a sideways movement this year and a red zero at the bottom line," he said.
Firms are also more optimistic about their outlook, a survey of 27,000 companies published by the DIHK showed. While in the autumn only 8% of those surveyed were optimistic about the business outlook in the next 12 months, the share has risen to 16% at the start of the year.


On average across all sectors, three of four companies still view high energy and raw materials prices as a business risk, the survey showed. In the industrial sector, this figure remains very high at 85%.
(Reporting by Maria Martinez Editing by Madeline Chambers)

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