UPDATE 3-Kenya central bank raises benchmark lending rate, exceeds poll forecast

Kitco Media
By Reuters
Published:
Updated:
Reuters
(Adds analyst comment) By George Obulutsa NAIROBI, March 29 (Reuters) - Kenya's central bank raised its benchmark lending rate to 9.50% on Wednesday from 8.75% previously and said there was room for further tightening of monetary policy in anticipation of higher inflation. At its last meeting in January, the bank's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) had held the rate steady. Kenya's MPC has been somewhat less hawkish than some of its African counterparts despite inflation remaining stubbornly high. Inflation rose to 9.2% year-on-year in February from 9.0% a month earlier, mostly spurred by food and transport prices. "The MPC noted the sustained inflationary pressures, the elevated global risks and their potential impact on the domestic economy, and concluded that there was scope for a further tightening of the monetary policy in order to anchor inflation expectations," the bank said in a statement. A Reuters poll of analysts had forecast that this time the central bank would raise its key policy interest rate by 25 basis points to 9.00%. Six of 11 analysts surveyed on March 21-28, predicted a 25-basis-point lift. Three said the bank would hold the rate steady, while one forecast a 50-basis-point increase and another expected a 125-basis point-jump to 10.00%. Razia Khan, chief Africa economist at Standard Chartered, said the rate rise was "a very encouraging move".


"Most of all it speaks to the seriousness of intent in making the interbank FX (foreign exchange) market more functional again," she said by email.


Earlier this month, President William Ruto said


the government was working with the central bank to revive the interbank foreign exchange market, which had gone dormant in recent years.


Like other countries in the region, Kenya is experiencing a jump in prices of basic commodities, which has been worsened by the worst drought in four decades. The inflation is one of the grievances opposition leader Raila Odinga has given as a reason for calling bi-weekly anti-government protests. Kenya's economy has also been hurt by the effects of a weaker currency and a heavy public debt load. However, the economy was expected to post a strong performance this year. "The economy is expected to remain resilient in 2023 despite the global uncertainties, supported by continued strong performance of the services sector and expected recovery in agriculture," the central bank said. (Reporting by George Obulutsa; Editing by Estelle Shirbon and Giles Elgood)

george.obulutsa.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net))
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.