UPDATE 2-Swedish govt says inflation fight paramount despite forecasting deeper downturn

Kitco Media
By Reuters
Published:
Updated:
Reuters
(Adds Finance Minister quote, graph, detail) STOCKHOLM, April 17 (Reuters) - The economic downturn in Sweden this year will be slightly deeper than initially thought, the government said in a new economic forecast on Monday, warning that big spending plans would have to wait until inflation was under control. Sweden's economy is likely to be one of the weakest in Europe this year with gross domestic product shrinking 1.0%, the government said in a forecast issued with its spring budget bill. In December it had forecast a 2023 contraction of 0.7%. Most Swedes have floating-rate mortgages and recent interest rate hikes have come as a nasty shock to many of those already struggling with surging food and fuel costs, forcing many to cut back. Despite the downturn, Finance Minister Elisabeth Svantesson said the government had to keep a tight rein on spending. "For me, fighting inflation is priority number one just now" Svantesson told reporters.


"If you increase expenditure a lot now - unfinanced spending - we know it would have an impact on inflation."


The government had already announced plans to allocate more money to the military, adult education and for a temporary increase in housing allowance for households struggling with the cost of living crisis, measures totalling around 4 billion Swedish crowns ($388 million). The spring budget is used to adjust spending, not for big policy initiatives, but Svantesson sketched out broad plans to boost job growth and increase spending on criminal justice and defence in the years ahead. State finances are strong - Sweden's national debt is among the lowest in Europe at 31% of GDP - and the National Institute for Economic Research reckons the right-wing government can boost spending by around 100 billion crowns in budgets covering the 2024-2027 period. But much of that will be eaten up by the government's promises to raise military spending to 2% of GDP as part of Sweden's bid to join NATO, plug holes in the welfare system exposed by the pandemic, and finance the shift to a "green economy". Svantesson said that the government still planned to cut income taxes, cap benefits and introduce a controversial measure to reduce diesel and petrol prices by lowering the amount of biofuels that are added in but that these would come in later budgets. Sweden's three-party minority coalition is kept in power by the populist, anti-immigration Sweden Democrats who want to reduce the country's climate commitments and boost welfare spending, making policy planning for the government tricky.

($1 = 10.3047 Swedish crowns) <^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Swedish economy: ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^> (Reporting by Simon Johnson, Johan Ahlander and Terje Solsvik; editing by Niklas Pollard and Hugh Lawson)

Messaging: johan.ahlander.reuters.com@reuters.net))
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.