WEEKAHEAD-AFRICA-FX-Kenyan and Zambian currencies seen slipping

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
NAIROBI, May 4 (Reuters) - Kenya's shilling and Zambia's kwacha are expected to weaken in the next week to Thursday, while Ghana's cedi should be stable and the Ugandan shilling is likely to gain, traders said. KENYA Kenya's shilling is forecast to lose ground because of increased demand for dollars from importers, especially oil-retailing companies. Commercial banks quoted the shilling at 136.30/50 per dollar, compared with last Thursday's close of 135.85/136.05. "We are still biased towards weakening," a trader at one commercial bank said. On Thursday, the shilling, which is down 9% so far this year against the dollar, hit a fresh record low of 136.35/55, according to Refinitiv Eikon data. Traders said while the shilling would weaken, it would be at a slower pace thanks to the central bank selling small amounts of dollars.


GHANA Ghana's cedi is expected to remain broadly stable next week amid muted demand for dollars from companies in the energy and manufacturing sectors. Eikon showed the cedi trading at 11.6000 to the dollar on Thursday, compared to 11.5500 at last Thursday's close. "Corporate (foreign-currency) demand remains subdued," said Selasi Kabo, a forex trader at Stanbic Ghana. Another trader said he expected the currency to remain steady as market players await the approval of a $3 billion support package from the International Monetary Fund. Ghana is seeking financing assurances from its external creditors to pave the way for the IMF's board to approve the financial support.


UGANDA The Ugandan shilling is seen trading firmer, helped by a broad-based slump in importer appetite for hard currency. Commercial banks quoted the shilling at 3,710/3,720 to the dollar, compared to last Thursday's close of 3,750/3,760.


"Appetite from importers has been dimming in recent days and I don't see this dynamic changing in the short term," said a trader at a commercial bank. He said the slowdown in importer appetite for dollars was likely due to weak consumer spending. He forecast the shilling would strengthen past 3,700 to the dollar in the next week.


ZAMBIA Zambia's kwacha will probably come under mild pressure as hard-currency demand continues to outstrip supply. On Thursday, commercial banks quoted the currency of Africa's second-largest copper producer at 18.0700 per dollar from 17.9000 at the close of business a week ago. In the first quarter of 2023 the kwacha traded at an average of 19.5000 per dollar from an average 16.7000 per dollar in the fourth quarter of 2022, 16.8% weaker, the finance ministry said on Tuesday. Zambia defaulted on its sovereign debt in 2020 and has struggled to agree a relief deal with lenders, with policymakers saying the delays are harming investment and pushing up inflation.
(Reporting by George Obulutsa, Christian Akorlie, Elias Biryabarema and Chris Mfula Editing by Alexander Winning)

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