Brokerages retain September rate cut bets after soft jobs report

Kitco Media
By Reuters
Published:
Updated:
Reuters
Brokerages retain September rate cut bets after soft jobs report teaser image

August 8 (Reuters) - Wall Street brokerages retained their expectations for a September rate cut following a soft jobs report, while J.P.Morgan became the latest to join the list.

J.P.Morgan expects the U.S. Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its September meeting, followed by three more quarter-point cuts before the Fed pauses, compared with its prior forecast of a 25 basis point rate cut in December.

Earlier this month, data showed nonfarm payrolls increased by 73,000 jobs last month after rising by a downwardly revised 14,000 in June. Economists polled by Reuters forecast payrolls advancing by 110,000 jobs in July

Last month, the U.S. central bank held interest rates steady and maintained its projection for two cuts this year, though a growing minority sees no cuts at all, and slightly dialed back its outlook to just one 25-basis-point cut in both 2026 and 2027.

Traders are pricing in 58.8 bps in rate cuts by year-end, according to data compiled by LSEG. They are penciling in about a 89.2% chance of a 25-bps cut in September, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool.

Compiled by the Broker Research team in Bengaluru; Editing by Krishna Chandra Eluri, Devika Syamnath, Shilpi Majumdar, Vijay Kishore and Harikrishnan Nair

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.