NEW YORK, Nov 26 (Reuters) - Global stocks climbed for a fourth straight day on Wednesday as expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut remained intact, while sterling was buffeted by Britain's fiscal watchdog inadvertently publishing new forecasts before a UK budget release.
On Wall Street, U.S. stocks were higher in the early stages of trading, led by gains in Nvidia (NVDA.O), as the AI-heavyweight rebounded from a 2.6% drop in the prior session and declines in three of the past four.
Equities have rallied since Friday, when expectations for a December rate cut from the Federal Reserve jumped after New York Fed President John Williams said interest rates can fall in the near term even as other policymakers insisted borrowing costs should remain steady for now.
Those expectations were reinforced after comments from San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly and Fed Governor Christopher Waller in support of a December cut.
Economic data on Wednesday showed weekly initial jobless claims dropped 6,000 to a seasonally adjusted 216,000 for the week ended November 22, the lowest level since April and below the 225,000 estimate of economists polled by Reuters.
"The economy isn't slipping into recession, but it's weak enough to allow the Fed another cut. There's still a high amount of people that are on unemployment, so this gives the Fed headroom to be able to cut some more," said Kim Forrest, chief investment officer at Bokeh Capital Partners.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI), rose 236.67 points, or 0.50%, to 47,349.12, the S&P 500 (.SPX), rose 35.19 points, or 0.52%, to 6,801.07 and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC), rose 128.11 points, or 0.56%, to 23,154.97.
Expectations for a 25 basis point cut from the Fed stand at 82.9%, according to CME's FedWatch Tool, opens new tab, down slightly from the 85.2% in the prior session but well above the 30.1% from a week ago.
U.S. markets will be closed on Thursday for the Thanksgiving holiday and will have an abbreviated session on Friday.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS), rose 7.76 points, or 0.78%, to 998.82 and was on pace for its fourth straight session of gains, its longest streak in a month. The pan-European STOXX 600 (.STOXX), index rose 0.97% and was on track for its biggest daily percentage gain in two weeks.
The dollar index , which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, fell 0.2% to 99.65, with the euro up 0.17% at $1.159.
Sterling strengthened 0.43% to $1.3223. The currency had swung between a gain of 0.5% and a decline of 0.11% on the day in the wake of the UK budget confusion as the Office for Budget Responsibility's Economic and Fiscal Outlook was released early.
British finance minister Rachel Reeves then announced a big tax-raising budget that will take more money from workers, people saving for a pension and from investors to give herself greater room to meet her deficit-reduction targets.
Ten-year gilt yields were last down 7.1 basis points at 4.424%.
The Japanese yen weakened 0.27% against the greenback to 156.48 per dollar even as sources told Reuters the Bank of Japan is preparing markets for a possible interest rate hike as soon as next month as it may take a more consistent rate hike path to alter the trajectory of the currency.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes rose 1.5 basis points to 4.017% after four sessions of declines following data that showed new orders for key U.S.-manufactured capital goods surged in September and shipments of these goods increased solidly. The data had been delayed due to the extended government shutdown.
Additional reporting by Johann M Cherian and Pranav Kashyap in Bengaluru, Gregor Stuart Hunter in Singapore, Joice Alves and Marc Jones in London; Editing by Conor Humphries, Nick Zieminski, Philippa Fletcher
