Metals: Volatility in spades

Kitco Media
By Jonathan Da Silva
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Kitco Commentaries
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Featuring views and opinions written by market professionals, not staff journalists.

My last words on Friday last week were, “If nothing else, brace for upcoming volatility.” The market delivered in spades Monday morning, with silver making a full $1 pop and dropping in a 3-hour timeframe.

Again, yesterday at 6PM EST open, a similar move occurred in gold for a $30 roundtrip (spot) up and down. In my opinion, despite the seller’s best efforts thus far, the action remains bullish.

The daily chart of gold below shows the price making yet another high with room for momentum to stretch all the way up. Note that gold printed an all-time high in the Canadian dollar at open last night.

The 4-hour silver chart I presented on Friday is updated below; it shows the extent of the last few days’ volatility.

Although the initial breakout from the flag Monday morning was reversed, sellers failed to breach the downside parameter and quickly took a kick in the teeth with the upward thrust from the reoccurring $24.50 level.

To me, the question is whether bulls have enough left in the tank to push gold on a run above all-time highs in the short term - possibly igniting a FOMO wave of buying? For now, I am braced for more volatility coming on tomorrow morning’s jobs report.

Thanks, and good luck.

Kitco Media

Jonathan Da Silva

Jonathan Da Silva developed a passion for hard money and economics from a young age having been influenced by family who sought to teach me that "nothing is free", and the importance of intrinsic value early on. My interest in markets grew keener during the great financial crisis of 2008; leaning on family with vast trading experience, I began to self-educate on technical analysis and economics- drawing inspiration from the works of individuals like W.D. Gann and Adam Smith. I have been a proud member of the Kitco team since 2017 and hope that my writing inspires readers to consider an objective view of the metals, and the greater financial markets.

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