U.K. construction PMI prints just under expectations

Kitco Media
By Rajan Dhall
Published
Updated
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(Kitco News) - The number came in at 56.4 (May) vs expectations of 56.6 and a previous reading of 58.2. This is the slowest increase since January but still in expansionary territory. One of the main takeaways from the report was the stagnation in residential homebuilding. The builders feared the cost-of-living squeeze and rising interest rates would constrain demand. 

Tim Moore, economics director at S&P Global, said "Residential construction activity was close to stagnation in May, which represented its worst performance for two years amid signs of softer demand and a headwind from low consumer confidence,"

This could be an interesting time for the demand for metals like copper. At 140,975 tonnes, copper stocks in LME-registered warehouses have dropped more than 20% since the middle of May. That obviously suggests copper demand is strong. There is a fine balance between high prices and construction growth. It will be good to watch the trend of construction PMI growth around the world and how China emerges from the latest COVID restrictions. 

The copper chart below (weekly) shows that the price of the red metal is consolidating at a high level. The report also noted "On a more positive note, supplier delays subsided in May, with the latest downturn in performance the least marked since February 2020. Meanwhile, rapid price pressures persisted due to rising energy, fuel and staff costs, but the overall rate of inflation eased to a threemonth low in May."

 

Kitco Media

Rajan Dhall

Rajan Dhall is a financial analyst that has been in the trading industry since 2009. From working in Canary Wharf (London) as a head trader to becoming a journalist on a real-time news desk, Rajan has worked his way through many positions in the financial sector. The main area of Raj's expertise lies in technical and statistical analysis. Rajan currently lectures technical analysis with the Society of Technical Analysts (STA) at the London School of Economics. One of the main areas Rajan has based his analysis on is probability. Raj completed his certification (probability) with Harvard and regularly uses probability theories in his analysis as he feels it helps him add value to his clients and customers.

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