Gold price punished by strong U.S. dollar, rising bond yields

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
Kitco News
The Leading News Source in Precious Metals

Kitco NEWS has a diverse team of journalists reporting on the economy, stock markets, commodities, cryptocurrencies, mining and metals with accuracy and objectivity. Our goal is to help people make informed market decisions through in-depth reporting, daily market roundups, interviews with prominent industry figures, comprehensive coverage (often exclusive) of important industry events and analyses of market-affecting developments.

Editor's Note: With so much market volatility, stay on top of daily news! Get caught up in minutes with our speedy summary of today's must-read news and expert opinions. Sign up here!

(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are weaker again in early U.S. trading Friday, with gold hitting a nearly 2.5-year low overnight. The relentless appreciation of the U.S. dollar on the foreign exchange market and rising U.S. Treasury yields remain bearish fundamental elements that are keeping buyers of the two precious metals scarce. October gold was last down $5.10 at $1,661.70 and December silver was down $0.244 at $19.03.

Global stock markets were mixed but mostly lower overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed to lower openings and two-month lows when the New York day session begins. The marketplace is more anxious late this week, after absorbing a hot U.S. consumer price index report on Tuesday. Traders are focusing on next week’s FOMC meeting that begins Tuesday and ends Wednesday afternoon. The FOMC is expected to raise the key U.S. Fed funds rate by 0.75% in the Fed’s effort to tamp down problematic price inflation. Also, a very dour earnings report from Federal Express Thursday has helped to dampen investor spirits to end the trading week. Again, the safe-haven metals are not seeing good safe-haven bids amid the marketplace anxiety.

In overnight news, the Eurozone reported its consumer price index for August at up 9.1%, year-on-year, which was in line with market expectations.


The 'biggest crash in history' is here - should you protect yourself with gold, silver, and livestock? - Robert Kiyosaki

The key outside markets today see Nymex crude oil prices firmer and trading around $86.00 a barrel. The U.S. dollar index is up in early U.S. trading. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note is fetching 3.463%. The 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield climbed to 3.901%, which is the highest level since 2007.  

U.S. economic data due for release Friday is light and includes the University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey and Treasury international capital data.

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]

Technically, the October gold futures bears have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a downtrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at $1,700.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $1,600.00. First resistance is seen at $1,686.30 and then at $1,700.00. First support is seen at the overnight low of $1,651.90 and then at $1,650.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 1.0

Live 24 hours silver chart [ Kitco Inc. ]

September silver futures bears have the overall near-term technical advantage and have gained momentum this week. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $20.00. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $18.00. First resistance is seen at the overnight high of $19.215 and then at Thursday’s high of $19.625. Next support is seen at the overnight low of $18.77 and then at $18.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.5.

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

Mdi Earth Logo

Share

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.