Investors rush to cash as May mood turns most pessimistic year-to-date - BofA survey

Kitco Media
By Anna Golubova
Published
Updated
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(Kitco News) Investor sentiment is deteriorating by the minute as tighter credit conditions and recession fears are driving investors toward cash, according to the Bank of America Corp.'s survey. The poll also revealed May's most crowded trades.

The mood of global fund managers hit the most pessimistic levels so far this year, with 65% of respondents projecting a weaker economy, the BofA survey said.

But despite the worries, nearly two-thirds of respondents still hoped for a "soft landing" scenario this year.

Looking into the details, BofA said cash levels climbed to 5.6%, equity exposure hit the highest levels of 2023, and bond allocations rose to levels not seen since 2009.

Top risks included tighter credit conditions, global recession, a surprise hawkish pivot by central banks due to stubborn inflation, more geopolitical tensions, and a credit contagion event.

With the June 1 deadline nearing, those expecting a debt ceiling resolution dropped from 80% to 71%, the survey showed.

Many stock investors turned to technology in a "flight to safety," with the sector seeing the highest two-month activity since the global financial crisis.

Right now, the long tech trade is the most crowded, BofA pointed out. Other overcrowded trades include the U.S. bank short, the U.S. dollar short, European and China equities long, and T-bills long.

There was also an exit from commodities and utilities in favor of the tech sector.

BofA's survey polled over 250 investors with more than $650 billion under management between May 5-11.

Kitco Media

Anna Golubova

Anna Golubova is the Producer for Kitco News. With more than ten years of experience in media, she has covered a range of topics, focusing on economy and politics. Anna began to exclusively cover economic news in 2013, attending media lockups at the Bank of Canada and Statistics Canada to report on a range of key macro economic events, including interest rate announcements, GDP, unemployment, and retail. She holds a Master of Arts in International Relations from NPSIA, Carleton and a Bachelor's degree in Political Science and History from the University of Ottawa.

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