Solid price gains for gold, silver on safe-haven buying

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
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Updated
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Solid price gains for gold, silver on safe-haven buying teaser image

(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are sharply higher, with gold hitting a record high and silver a three-year high. The general market place is very uneasy heading into the weekend, as geopolitical tensions have heated up just recently. That’s driving stronger safe-haven demand for gold and silver. June gold was last up $34.90 at $2,408.00. May silver was last up $0.785 at $29.03.

The Wall Street Journal reports Israel is set for another assault against Iran following an air strike on an Iranian compound last week. Meantime, Iran has threatened retaliation, and said it may block the important Strait of Hormuz, a vital global shipping route. The Russia-Ukraine war is still running hot, too.

Precious metals bulls have been impressed with gold and silver rallying despite higher bond yields. Broker SP Angel said in a morning email dispatch that Bloomberg reported Chinese gold ETFs have seen huge inflows, with some up 40% since the end of March. “Chinese investors are rushing to safe- haven assets as their property sector continues to slump and their equity market fares little better. China’s Yuan remains under pressure, with the PBoC continuing to fix the currency onshore at 7.1 per dollar,” said the broker. Central banks are also reported to be snapping up gold.

Asian and European stock indexes were mixed to lower overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed to toward lower openings when the New York day session begins. The U.S. stock indexes have turned wobbly this week after a hotter U.S. consumer price index report on Wednesday. Reads a Wall Street Journal headline today: “Fed rate cuts are now a matter of if, not when.”

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index solidly higher and at a 5.5-month high. Nymex crude oil prices are higher and trading around $86.25 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is presently fetching 4.53%.

U.S. economic data due for release Friday includes import and export price indexes and the University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey.

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Technically, the gold futures bulls have the strong overall near-term technical advantage. A seven-week-old uptrend is in place on the daily bar chart. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close in June futures above solid resistance at $2,500.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $2,300.00. First resistance is seen at today’s contract high of $2,418.20 and then at $2,435.00. First support is seen at the overnight low of $2,388.60 and then at $2,350.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 9.0.

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The silver bulls have the strong overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a two-month-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing May futures prices above solid technical resistance at $30.00. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $27.00. First resistance is seen at the overnight high of $29.315 and then at $29.50. Next support is seen at the overnight low of $28.485 and then at $28.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 8.5.

(Hey! My “Markets Front Burner” weekly email report is my best writing and analysis, I think, because I get to look ahead at the marketplace and do some market price forecasting. Plus, I’ll throw in an educational feature to move you up the ladder of trading/investing success. And it’s free! Email me at jim@jimwyckoff.com and I’ll add your email address to my Front Burner list.)

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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