Gold racks up record highs on safe-haven bidding, bullish charts

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
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Gold racks up record highs on safe-haven bidding, bullish charts teaser image

(Kitco News) - Gold prices are higher and have notched new all-time highs in midday U.S. trading Thursday. Spot gold hit a record high of $2,697.90 and December Comex futures a new high at $2,712.70. Safe haven demand amid geopolitical tensions and the uncertainty surrounding the U.S. presidential elections is driving gold prices north. Technical-based buying amid bullish charts is also fueling gains in both gold and silver. December gold was last up $13.30 at $2,704.60 and December silver was down $0.234 at $31.74.

A very heavy slate of U.S. economic data Thursday was highlighted by the retail sales and weekly jobless claims reports. September retail sales came in at up 0.4%, month-on-month and were seen coming in at up 0.3% from August. That compares to a rise of 0.1% in the August report. Weekly jobless claims came in at up 241,000 and were seen up 260,000. That compares to last week’s report showing a rise of 258,000. These two reports fell into the camp of the U.S. monetary policy hawks, who want to see the Fed restrained on its interest-rate-cutting path. However, today’s data is unlikely to change the trajectory of the Fed’s money policy.

The European Central Bank met today and announced a 25 basis-point cut to its main interest rate, taking the deposit facility rate to 3.25%. The move was expected by the marketplace.

In overnight news, broker SP Angel reported Hong Kong officials have plans to develop the region into a gold trading hub. The Hong Kong Chief Executive said that “amid the increasingly complicated geopolitics, our city’s security and stability gives us a clear edge as an attractive place for physical gold storage.” The broker said gold is becoming increasingly popular with developing economies looking to diversify their foreign reserves, as seen in the huge builds by China, Russia and Turkey over the past few years. The BRICS summit begins next week, with de-dollarization a key part of the agenda, hosted by Russia.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index firmer. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield is presently fetching 4.091%. Crude oil prices are near steady and trading around $70.25 a barrel.

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Technically, December gold bulls have the strong overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at $2,750.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at the October low of $2,648.90. First resistance is seen at today’s record high of $2,712.70 and then at $2,725.00. First support is seen at today’s low of $2,688.20 and then at Wednesday’s low of $2,674.90. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 9.5.

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December silver futures bulls have the firm overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a nine-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at the May high of $33.50. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at the October low of $30.345. First resistance is seen at this week’s high of $32.385 and then at $33.00. Next support is seen at today’s low of $31.54 and then at $31.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0.

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Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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