Gold price weaker on notions of de-escalating Middle East tensions

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are modestly down in early U.S. trading Monday, following the weekend attack by Israel on Iran that was deemed as being an attempt at de-escalation between the two countries. December gold was last down $10.50 at $2,744.10 and December silver was down $0.209 at $33.57.

The feature in the marketplace to start the trading week is sharply lower crude oil prices, on ideas the Israel-Iran military exchanges have ended following surgical strikes by Israel against Iran Saturday. No oil Iranian oil installations or nuclear facilities were targeted by Isreal. Both countries have now given hints their direct military actions against each other have come to an end. Nymex crude oil prices were last down $4.51 a barrel at $67.27. The notions of a de-escalation in Middle East violence have modestly pressured the gold and silver markets. However, veteran market watchers know the Middle East is never far away from becoming a powder keg.

Asian and European stock indexes were mixed to firmer overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed to higher openings when the New York day session begins. Reads a Wall Street Journal headline today: “Stocks look to extend record run.”

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index slightly down. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield is presently fetching 4.278%. U.S. bond yields have been on the rise recently despite the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates. A Wall Street Journal headline today reads: “Economists warn of new inflation hazards after election.” The story said both candidates Trump and Harris have laid out initiatives that could reignite inflation in the U.S.

U.S. economic data due for release Monday includes the Texas manufacturing outlook survey.

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Technically, December gold bulls have the strong overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at $2,800.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $2,650.00. First resistance is seen at the overnight high of $2,756.60 and then at the contract high of $2,772.60. First support is seen at the overnight low of $2,736.90 and then at last week’s low of $2,722.10. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 9.0.

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December silver futures bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in an accelerating 2.5-month-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $37.50. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $32.00. First resistance is seen at $34.00 and then at $34.50. Next support is seen at last week’s low of $33.26 and then at $33.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 8.0.

(Hey! My “Markets Front Burner” weekly email report is my best writing and analysis, I think, because I get to look ahead at the marketplace and do some market price forecasting. Plus, I’ll throw in an educational feature to move you up the ladder of trading/investing success. And it’s free! Sign up here; it’s real easy. https://www.kitco.com/services

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Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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