Gold price modestly down on profit taking; eyes on Trump

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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(Kitco News) - Gold prices are a bit lower in early U.S. trading Tuesday on more profit taking from the shorter-term futures traders after recent gains. Solidly lower crude oil prices are limiting buying interest in the metals markets. However, a sharply lower greenback to start the U.S. holiday-shortened trading week is limiting the downside for gold and silver. February gold was last down $7.00 at $2,741.70. March silver was up $0.109 at $31.25.

The eyes of the world marketplace are on the policy actions of U.S. President Donald Trump, who was sworn into office Monday. Bloomberg reports that “Trump’s policies caused a rollercoaster ride in markets, with traders zeroing in on a warning over currency manipulation. … As markets digest Trump’s plans, JP Morgan has set up a war room to analyze their impact.” Trump said he planned to impose tariffs of as much as 25% on Mexico and Canada products coming to the U.S. by Feb. 1. Trump also promised to speed up American energy development and revoked measures that had blocked drilling in most U.S. coastal waters.

Asian and European stock markets were mixed overnight. U.S. stock indexes are set to open firmer and at two-week highs when the New York day session begins.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index lower. Nymex crude oil futures prices are solidly down and are trading around $76.00 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is presently at 4.582%.

There is no major U.S. economic data due for release Tuesday.

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Technically, February gold futures bulls have the firm overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are trending up on the daily bar chart. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at the December high of $2,761.30. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $2,650.00. First resistance is seen at $2,750.00 and then at last week’s high of $2,759.20. First support is seen at the overnight low of $2,715.60 and then at $2,700.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0.

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March silver futures bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are trending up on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at the December high of $33.33. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $30.00. First resistance is seen at the overnight high of $31.525 and then at $32.00. Next support is seen at the overnight low of $30.77 and then at $30.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0.

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Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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