King U.S. dollar continues to push gold price lower

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are lower in early U.S. trading Friday. The two precious metals continue to trade in a strong inverse relationship with the powerful U.S. dollar index. Gold and silver bulls remain perplexed by their metals' inability to catch a safe-haven bid amid heightened geopolitical and marketplace uncertainties. December gold was last down $16.00 at $1,661.10 and December silver was down $0.258 at $18.65.

Global stock markets were mostly firmer overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed to mixed openings when the New York day session begins. Thursday's strong rebounds and sharply higher closes in the indexes really surprised the marketplace. The hot U.S. consumer price index report released in the morning dropped the U.S. stock indexes sharply, only to seen them rapidly "turn on a dime." Analysts scrambled to make sense of the rebounds, with some saying short covering and others saying bargain hunting. Some said there must have been a bullish technical signal, while others, still, reckoned all the bearish news in the marketplace has been factored into prices. It's likely all of the above were responsible.

U.S. Federal Reserve officials have recently reiterated their aggressively hawkish stance on monetary policy, which has kept the general marketplace uneasy, for fear of pending U.S. and/or global recession. Thursday's CPI report suggests the Fed is correct regarding its belief that inflation is still not under control.

Risk aversion in the general marketplace was only briefly assuaged on news the U.K. government is going to roll back part of its controversial tax and spending plans that had roiled the financial markets the past two weeks. However, there are now rumblings the U.K. government's reckless moves have put Prime Minister Truss in jeopardy of losing her job. This morning it was reported U.K. Chancellor of the Exchequer Kwarteng has been fired. A Barron's headline today reads, "The U.K. is heading for crisis…." As always in these cases of a government and/or its economy in turmoil is the dreaded contagion effect.


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The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index sharply higher. Nymex crude oil prices are lower and trading around $87.50 a barrel. The U.S. Treasury 10-year note yield is presently fetching 3.901%.   

U.S. economic data due for release Friday includes import and export prices, retail sales, manufacturing and trade inventories and the University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey.

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]

Technically, the December gold futures bears have the solid overall near-term technical advantage and have regained power. Bulls' next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at the October high of $1,738.70. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at the September low of $1,622.20. First resistance is seen at the overnight high of $1,677.80 and then at Thursday's high of $1,688.90. First support is seen at this week's low of $1,648.30 and then at $1,622.20. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.0

Live 24 hours silver chart [ Kitco Inc. ]

September silver futures bears have the firm overall near-term technical advantage and have momentum. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at the October high of $21.31. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at the September low of $17.40. First resistance is seen at the overnight high of $19.055 and then at Thursday's high of $19.29. Next support is seen at this week's low of $18.41 and then at $18.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.5.

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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