Gold sees little price movement in wake of FOMC minutes

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
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Updated
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(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are modestly lower in afternoon U.S. trading Wednesday, in the immediate aftermath of fresh data from the U.S. Federal Reserve. April gold was last down $1.90 at $1,840.70 and March silver was down $0.265 at $21.625.

The U.S. data point of the day Wednesday saw the minutes from the last meeting of the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) say members agreed on a continued restrictive U.S. monetary policy until inflation is on a sustained path to 2% annually—which will take some time. Some Fed officials wanted a 0.5% rate hike at last month’s FOMC meeting. The FOMC raised the key Fed funds range by only 0.25% last month, which was favored by most FOMC members. The marketplace initially deems the FOMC minutes as containing no big surprises to move the markets. It’s important to note the FOMC meeting took place before the January U.S. jobs report that was much stronger than expected.

Global stock markets were mixed but mostly lower overnight. U.S. stock indexes are slightly higher in afternoon trading, after hitting three-week lows overnight. The stock index bulls have faded recently, including near-term price uptrends on the daily bar chart being negated to suggest near-term market tops are in place.


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The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index slightly higher. Nymex crude oil futures prices are solidly lower and trading around $74.00 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note is presently fetching around 3.9%.

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]

Technically, April gold futures bears have the slight overall near-term technical advantage. A fledgling downtrend is in place on the daily chart. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at last week’s high of $1,881.60. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $1,800.00. First resistance is seen at this week’s high of $1,856.40 and then at $1,870.90. First support is seen at last week’s low of $1,827.70 and then at $1,815.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.5.

Live 24 hours silver chart [ Kitco Inc. ]

March silver futures bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $23.00. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $21.00. First resistance is seen at last week’s high of $22.085 and then at $22.31. Next support is seen at the February low of $21.155 and then at $21.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0.

March N.Y. copper closed down 400 points at 418.55 cents today. Prices closed near mid-range today. The copper bulls have the firm overall near-term technical advantage and gained more power today. Copper bulls' next upside price objective is pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance at the January high of 435.50 cents. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid technical support at the February low of 397.85 cents. First resistance is seen at this week’s high of 423.70 cents and then at 430.00 cents. First support is seen at today’s low of 414.85 cents and then at this week’s low of 410.15 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5.

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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