Gold price near steady, hits 9-week low

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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(Kitco News) - Gold prices are hovering around unchanged in early U.S. trading Monday after scoring a nine-week low in overnight dealings. Silver prices are weaker and hit a nearly four-month low today. Technical selling is featured in both metals as their near-term chart postures favor the bears. April gold was last up $0.90 at $1,818.00 and March silver was down $0.20 at $20.60.

Global stock markets were mixed overnight, with Asian shares mostly lower and European shares mostly higher. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward firmer openings when the New York day session begins. The stock index bulls are still jittery after last week, which saw the worst performance of the year for the U.S. stock indexes. Worries about the Federal Reserve keeping U.S. interest rates higher for longer have left traders and investors with less risk appetite. The Wall Street Journal today reported, “Fear is creeping back into the stock market. To protect against a potential downturn, traders are scooping up hedges at the fastest clip since the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic.” Traders are betting the CBOE’s daily volatility index (VIX) will rise in the coming weeks. To do that hedging, traders are buying call options on the VIX, said the WSJ.

The key outside markets this morning see the U.S. dollar index weaker. Nymex crude oil futures prices are slightly lower and trading around $76.75 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note is presently fetching 3.955%.

U.S. economic data due for release Monday includes durable goods orders, pending home sales and the Texas manufacturing outlook survey.

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]

Technically, the gold futures bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a fledgling downtrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close in April futures above solid resistance at last week’s high of $1,881.60. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $1,800.00. First resistance is seen at Thursday’s high of $1.841.20 and then at week’s high of $1,856.40. First support is seen at $1,815.00 and then at $1,800.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0.

Live 24 hours silver chart [ Kitco Inc. ]

The silver bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a downtrend on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing March futures prices above solid technical resistance at $22.635. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $20.00. First resistance is seen at the overnight high of $21.395 and then at Thursday’s high of $21.67. Next support is seen at $21.00 and then at $20.79. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0.

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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