Solid gains for gold, silver as USDX dips, Crude rallies

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
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Solid gains for gold, silver as USDX dips, Crude rallies teaser image

(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are sharply higher in midday U.S. trading Tuesday, with silver knocking on the door of an 11-year high. Bullish daily outside-market forces are working in favor of the precious metals bulls to start the U.S. trading week. The U.S. dollar index is lower and crude oil prices are solidly higher. June gold was last up $25.90 at $2,360.40. July silver was last up $1.791 at $32.29.

Silver’s very strong gains today come amid reports of stronger Chinese demand for silver. To underscore the increased global demand for metals, respected broker SP Angel today reported in an email dispatch that a University of Michigan study said the amount of copper needed for electric vehicles is “impossible for mining companies to produce.” The study highlighted the critical challenge of insufficient copper production for the global transition to EVs, saying the amount of copper needed for EVs is "essentially impossible for mining companies to produce." An EV requires three to five times more copper than traditional gas or diesel cars. The study analyzed 120 years of global copper production data and modeled future production against projected copper needs for renewable energy and EVs. The study concluded that renewable energy's copper needs exceed current production capacity.

U.S. stock indexes are mixed to at midday. It’s a quieter start to the holiday-shortened week in the U.S. Markets were closed Monday for the Memorial Day holiday. However, it’s a busy week for U.S. economic data releases, highlighted by Friday’s personal income and outlays report that includes the closely watched PCE inflation indexes.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index lower. Nymex crude oil prices are solidly higher and trading around $79.75 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is fetching 4.5%.  

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Technically, June gold futures bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage. However, a bearish double-top reversal pattern has formed on the daily bar chart to suggest a near-term market top is in place. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at the record high of $2,454.20. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at the May low of $2,285.20. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $2,365.50 and then at $2,375.00. First support is seen at $2,350.00 and then at the overnight low of $2,333.80. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.

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July silver futures bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage and regained power today. Prices are in a four-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at the May high of $32.75. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $29.00. First resistance is seen at the overnight high of $32.45 and then at $32.75. Next support is seen at $32.00 and then at $31.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 8.5.

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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