Gold near steady, silver down on busy U.S. data day

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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Gold near steady, silver down on busy U.S. data day teaser image

(Kitco News) - Gold prices are trading near steady and silver prices sharply down in midday U.S. trading Thursday. The two precious metals markets are still feeling the bearish aftereffect of comments Tuesday by Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, who leaned hawkish in his comments on U.S. monetary policy. August gold was last up $1.90 at $2,366.00. July silver was last down $0.798 at $31.575.

U.S. economic data releases today were highlighted by the second estimate of first-quarter gross domestic product. GDP came in at up 1.3%, year-on-year and was seen by the trade at coming in at up 1.2%. The chain-weighted price index was up 3.0% versus forecasts for up 3.1%, year-on-year. Gold prices did erase modest overnight losses following the data, as the U.S. dollar index sold off and U.S. Treasury yields down-ticked a bit.

Friday’s personal income and outlays report includes the closely watched PCE inflation indexes.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index solidly lower. Nymex crude oil prices are lower and trading around $78.25 a barrel.

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Technically, August gold futures prices hit a three-week low overnight. The bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage but have faded. A bearish double-top reversal pattern has formed on the daily bar chart to suggest a near-term market top is in place. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at the contract high of $2,477.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at the May low of $2,308.70. First resistance is seen at $2,375.00 and then at this week’s high of $2,388.00. First support is seen at the overnight low of $2,343.30 and then at $2,325.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0.

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July silver futures bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a four-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at the May high of $32.75. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $29.00. First resistance is seen at the overnight high of $32.28 and then at $32.75. Next support is seen at the overnight low of $31.325 and then at $31.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5 .

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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