More solid losses for gold as bears gain more confidence

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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(Kitco News) - Gold prices are solidly down and silver prices near steady in midday U.S. trading Tuesday. Both markets hit seven-week lows today. The two precious metals are in a downdraft amid a very strong U.S. dollar, rising U.S. Treasury yields, less demand for metals from China and less risk aversion in the general marketplace at present. December gold was last down $17.20 at $2,600.30 and December silver was up $0.022 at $30.645.

Importantly, the psychology of the precious metals marketplace has changed the past week. It appears that most gold and silver traders/investors have moved from confidently buying price dips to now nervously selling any price strength. The main reasons for this change in psychology are the deteriorating near-term technical postures for gold and silver, and the return of better risk appetite to the general marketplace. Until this trader psychology changes, it appears the path of least resistance for gold and silver prices will remain sideways to lower.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index higher again and at a 4.5-month high. Nymex crude oil futures prices are a bit firmer and trading around $68.25 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is presently around 4.5%.

The U.S. data points of the week are the consumer price index on Wednesday and the producer price index on Thursday. CPI for October is seen up 2.6%, year-on-year, compared to a reading of up 2.4% in the September report.

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Technically, December gold bulls have lost their overall near-term technical advantage and prices are trending down. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at $2,700.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support $2,500.00. First resistance is seen at the overnight high of $2,633.40 and then at $2,650.00. First support is seen at today’s low of $2,595.70 and then at $2,575.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0.

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December silver futures bulls have lost the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are trending down on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $32.50. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $29.00. First resistance is seen at $31.00 and then at this week’s high of $31.66. Next support is seen at the overnight low of $30.28 and then at $30.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0.

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Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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