Gold price up on safe-haven buying amid U.K. budget woes

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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Gold price up on safe-haven buying amid U.K. budget woes    teaser image

(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are higher in early U.S. trading Thursday, on some fresh safe-haven demand due to a budget crisis in the U.K. that may spread. February gold was last up $18.10 at $2,690.50 and March silver was up $0.36 at $31.05.

U.K. financial markets tumbled overnight on growing worries over the government’s budget deficit, with the British pound hitting the lowest level in more than a year against the U.S. dollar. The 10-year U.K. gilt yield jumped to 4.92% and the FTSE 250 Index dropped for a third day in a row. This situation is being closely watched by the global marketplace, which is worried about a contagion effect.

Asian and European stock indexes were mixed overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward weaker openings when the New York day session begins. The U.S. government and stock market are closed today for former President Jimmy Carter’s national day of mourning. Other U.S. markets trade normal to abbreviated hours.

China’s December consumer price index rose 0.1%, year-on-year, which was right in line with market expectations.

Bloomberg reports investors pulled $583 million from Bitcoin exchange-traded funds in the U.S. on Wednesday. That is the second-highest outflow since the fund debuted a year ago.

The U.S. data point of the week is the employment situation report for December on Friday. It’s forecast to show non-payrolls increasing by 160,000. That compares to a gain of 227,000 in the November jobs report.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index slightly higher. Nymex crude oil futures prices are slightly up and trading around $73.50 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is presently at 4.671%.

U.S. economic data due for release Thursday is light and includes the Challenger job-cuts report.

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Technically, February gold futures bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at $2,700.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at the November low of $2,565.00. First resistance is seen at $2,700.00 and then at $2,718.00. First support is seen at the overnight low of $2,673.70 and then at $2,650.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.

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March silver futures bears have the slight overall near-term technical advantage. A nine-week-old downtrend is still in place on the daily bar chart. More gains this week would negate the downtrend, however. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $32.00. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at the December low of $29.145. First resistance is seen at $31.50 and then at $32.00. Next support is seen at $30.50 and then at $30.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.5.

(Hey! My “Markets Front Burner” weekly email report is my best writing and analysis, I think, because I get to look ahead at the marketplace and do some market price forecasting. Plus, I’ll throw in an educational feature to move you up the ladder of trading/investing success. And it’s free! Sign up here; it’s real easy. https://www.kitco.com/services

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Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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