Routine profit taking pressures precious metals

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
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Updated
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(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are lower in midday U.S. trading Thursday, as the shorter-term futures traders are doing some predictable profit taking from recent gains. Both precious metals markets are also consolidating ahead of one of the most important U.S. economic data points of the month on Friday morning. April gold was last down $18.10 at $2,874.90. March silver prices were last down $0.306 at $32.67.

Friday comes the important U.S. employment situation report for January, with the key non-farm jobs number seen coming in at up 169,000 versus a rise of 256,000 in the December report. Bloomberg reports the January U.S. payroll numbers “will be hard to parse because of the wildfires in Los Angeles and cold weather in other parts of the country.”

U.S. stock indexes are mixed at midday. David Morrison from Trade Nation said in an email dispatch today the U.S. stock market recovery from early-week losses “has come as the shock of President Trump’s tariff announcements has moderated. There was relief after the threat of 25% tariffs on U.S. imports from Mexico and Canada were postponed for a month.” The 10% imposition of tariffs on China “is significantly below the 60% initially threatened. China has retaliated with its own trade restrictions which are scheduled to kick in next week. This provides a narrow window for some accommodation to be reached as Presidents Trump and Xi are expected to talk before the deadline,” said Morrison.

In overnight news, the Bank of England cut its main interest rate but struck a hawkish tone by signaling fewer rate hikes.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index modestly higher. Nymex crude oil futures prices are weaker and trading around $70.75 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is presently around 4.5%. U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent said the Trump administration’s focus on bringing down borrowing costs is 10-year Treasury yields, rather than the Fed’s benchmark short-term rate.

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Technically, April gold futures bulls have the strong overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are trending up on the daily bar chart. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at $3,000.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $2,800.00. First resistance is seen at $2,900.00 and then at the contract high of $2,906.00. First support is seen at today’s low of $2,855.00 and then at $2,835.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 9.0.

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March silver futures bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage amid a price uptrend in place on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $34.00. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $31.00. First resistance is seen at $33.00 and then at the December high of $33.33. Next support is seen at today’s low of $32.15 and then at $32.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.

(Hey! My “Markets Front Burner” weekly email report is my best writing and analysis, I think, because I get to look ahead at the marketplace and do some market price forecasting. Plus, I’ll throw in an educational feature to move you up the ladder of trading/investing success. And it’s free! Sign up here; it’s real easy. https://www.kitco.com/services
 

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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