Gold and silver market update: Why interest rate changes may mislead investors

Kitco Media
By CPM Group
Published:
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In this presentation, Jeffrey Christian of CPM Group discusses the relationship between interest rates, gold prices, silver prices, and investor demand. He begins with a precious metals market update, explaining why gold broke below $4,000 overnight before recovering near $4,040, why the $4,000 level may continue to be tested, and why CPM Group would not be surprised to see gold move toward $3,800 during the current summer consolidation period.

Jeff also reviews the silver market, including silver’s move below $60, the possibility of further short-term weakness toward $55 or $50, and the continued selling pressure from ETF investors and secondary coin flows. He explains why CPM Group remains short-term cautious but longer term bullish on gold and silver, based on the expectation that economic and political conditions may become more hostile later in the year and into 2027.

The presentation also covers platinum and palladium weakness, auto demand risks, and why platinum group metals are more industrial in nature than gold and silver.

Jeff then turns to real interest rates, explaining why they do not automatically mean higher or lower gold and silver prices. He shows why the relationship is complicated, why gold and silver sometimes move with interest rates, and why investors need to understand what is driving rates instead of blindly using them as an indicator.

CPM thanks Monetary Metals for making this paid CPM research available to our viewers.

If you're interested in learning more about how gold leasing works, visit

www.Monetary-Metals.com/CPM

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CPM Group

CPM Group is a commodities research, consulting, financialadvisory and commodities management firm providing independent research,analysis and advisory services related to commodities markets, corporate andproject finance, and the financial management of exposure to commodity orientedinvestments.

We started our business in 1986 predicated on the idea that commoditiesresearch and advice is best delivered by independent experts who do not work forbanks, brokers, mining companies, or any other entity that has interests thatcould conflict with the best interests of the clients receiving the research,analysis, and advice.

All of our work is driven by fundamental commodities research and economicanalysis. As we undertake our research into individual commodities markets wegather a tremendous amount of information and develop an enormous body ofextremely high quality, unbiased analysis of the markets and the companies thatare involved with individual commodities. The outputs of our research andanalysis take the form of research reports, specialized and targeted consultingrelated to these markets, financial advisory services ranging from corporate andproject finance structuring to equity introductions, and managing specificcommodities and investment positions for clients.

CPM Group continues to demonstrate the economic value and financial worth ofsuperior research, information, and analysis. Our research is based onmicro-economic analysis of the individual components of each commodity market,wedded with a top-down macro-economic analysis of the global trends affectingthese markets. We apply the results of that analysis to our research,consulting, and advisory services.

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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.