Gold firms with focus on Middle East developments, US economic data

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
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June 2 (Reuters) - Gold ​ticked higher on Tuesday as market participants focused on developments in the ‌Middle East and upcoming U.S. economic data to gauge their impact on monetary policy.

Spot gold was up 0.5% to $4,504.36 per ounce as of 11:16 a.m. EDT (1516 GMT) after falling as much as 2% on Monday. U.S. ​gold futures gained 0.6% to $4,534.00.

Gold market trajectory "depends on the direction of oil prices, ​bond yields, and the U.S. dollar - all of that, in turn, is tied ⁠to the Middle East situation," said Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at Forex.com.

"For me to ​turn bullish on gold again, we need to see at least some renewed upside momentum suggesting ​that buyers are coming back. At the moment, however, the market seems directionless, with participants largely waiting for cues, particularly from the Middle East."

Iran is reviewing a proposed agreement with the U.S. to halt the war but ​has not communicated with Washington for a few days, Iranian media reported, after U.S. President ​Donald Trump said negotiations were ongoing.

Since the start of the conflict, gold has come under pressure as ‌a surge ⁠in energy prices has stoked inflation worries and expectations of elevated interest rates.

Although gold is typically viewed as a hedge against inflation, it tends to lose its attractiveness as a non-yielding asset when interest rates are high.

Data due this week include the ADP employment report on ​Wednesday and Friday’s employment ​report. Markets will scan ⁠the data for cues on the Federal Reserve's policy path.

Data showed that U.S. job openings increased more than expected in April although hiring declined, ​likely because of lingering economic uncertainty.

Commerzbank expects gold at $4,800 per troy ​ounce by the ⁠end of this year, down from its previous forecast of $5,000. It maintained its forecast of $5,200 for the end of 2027 and noted that structural factors supporting gold remain entirely intact.

"In addition to ⁠the ​lowered gold price forecast, weaker industrial demand for silver also ​points to a slightly lower silver price," Commerzbank added.

Spot silver rose 1.4% to $75.85 per ounce.

Platinum gained 1.1% to $1,944.05 and ​palladium added 0.6% to $1,370.75.

Reporting by Ashitha Shivaprasad in Bengaluru; Editing by Nick Zieminski and Hugh Lawson

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