Wells Fargo raises year-end S&P 500 target on stronger earnings outlook

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
Wells Fargo raises year-end S&P 500 target on stronger earnings outlook teaser image

June 16 (Reuters) - Wells Fargo raised its year-end 2026 target for the S&P 500 to 7,950, pointing to ​stronger corporate earnings, easing macroeconomic risks following the U.S.-Iran interim deal ‌and a recent market pullback that has reset investor sentiment.

The new target implies about 5.2% upside from Monday's close of 7,554.29.

The brokerage in a note ​dated June 15 said it now expects S&P 500 earnings ​per share for 2026 to rise to $340 from $315, reflecting ⁠robust profit momentum and continued strength in corporate fundamentals.

Wells Fargo also ​lifted its 2027 EPS target for S&P 500 to $390 from $365.

It added ​that geopolitical tensions have eased after the Iran agreement, helping reduce macro uncertainty that had weighed on markets.

"We continue to see inflation as the biggest risk ​to stocks, but only if the Fed were to react. ​A potential "run it hot, inflate out" policy is bullish, and we expect stocks will ‌be ⁠the best inflation hedge in that backdrop" the brokerage said.

The S&P 500 (.SPX),  is up 10.3% so far this year, broadly driven by the AI-driven rally and developments around the Iran conflict.

The recent sell-off in ​equities has also ​cooled investor ⁠positioning, bringing sentiment back to 'neutral' levels and creating room for further gains, Wells Fargo said.

"Sentiment has reset, ​providing room for upside in the AI trade. Hyperscalers' ​race ⁠to raise capital is also a big tailwind for semis and infra" brokerage added.

The brokerage maintained a constructive view on risk assets in ⁠the near ​term, particularly in cyclical sectors and ​semiconductors, as fading macro headwinds and steady earnings growth continue to drive the rally.

Reporting ​by Rashika Singh in Bengaluru; Editing by Tasim Zahid and Shailesh Kuber

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