Gold heads for weekly gain as weak US jobs data tempers rate hike bets

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
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July 3 (Reuters) - Gold rose on Friday and was set ‌for a weekly gain after four straight weeks of declines, as weak U.S. jobs data dampened expectations for a near-term Federal Reserve rate hike.

Spot gold was up 1.3% at $4,176.29 per ounce by ​1006 GMT, after hitting its highest since June 23. Bullion held above its ​21-day moving average and is up over 2% for the week so far.

U.S. ⁠gold futures for August delivery gained 1.53% to $4,188.80/oz.

Data on Thursday showed that U.S. nonfarm payrolls ​rose by 57,000 last month, below the 110,000 expected by economists in a ​Reuters poll.

Gold's rally was driven by a sharp slowdown in U.S. hiring last month and the immediate price reaction appears warranted for the time being as markets pare bets for a Fed rate hike in ​September, said Han Tan, chief market analyst at Bybit.

Traders now see about ​a 54% chance of a rate increase in September, down from 66% before the data, according ‌to ⁠the CME FedWatch tool. FEDWATCH/

Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold.

The U.S. dollar was on track for its biggest weekly loss since April following the jobs data, making greenback-priced bullion more affordable for holders of other ​currencies.

World Gold Council ​data on Thursday ⁠showed central banks added a net 41 metric tons of gold to reserves in May.

Central banks are still expected to ​remain a demand pillar for spot prices over the longer ​term, although some have ⁠been selling their holdings recently to defend currencies, said Tan.

In physical markets, gold demand in India eased this week as prices rebounded, while buying interest in China ⁠improved slightly.

Among ​other metals, spot silver rose 2.6% to $62.58 per ​ounce, platinum gained 2.7% to $1,659.85, and palladium climbed 0.7% to $1,277.25.

All three metals were on track for ​weekly gains.

Reporting by Sumit Saha in Bengaluru; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu and Sonia Cheema

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