Fed's Goolsbee says latest inflation data is better

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
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Aug 13 (Reuters) - Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Austan Goolsbee on Thursday said the latest U.S. inflation data ​has been a "little better," and he is hopeful that as ‌the effects of tariffs and higher oil prices from the Iran war fade, inflation can continue to improve.

"If we can get some of this stuff into the rearview mirror then ​I think we get back on what I was calling the ​golden path, which is inflation heading back to 2%," Goolsbee ⁠said in an interview with Fox News. "The overall level being in ​the 3%, that's too high; that's not great. The good news is the ​new information that's been coming in has been a little better."

The Fed last month held the short-term policy rate in the 3.50%-3.75% range, though at least five of the ​central bank's 19 policymakers wanted to raise rates instead, based on ​votes cast at the time and public remarks made since.

The Fed targets 2% inflation by ‌the ⁠12-month change in the personal consumption expenditures price index; in June, PCE inflation was 3.7%, down from its recent 4.1% peak in May.

As recently as last week traders had been pricing in a Fed rate hike as soon as ​September, but back-to-back ​reports this week ⁠of milder-than-expected consumer and producer price inflation in July, following last Friday's weak jobs report, have mostly erased ​the expectation of any near-term Fed move.

"Inflation has been too ​high ⁠and our progress stalled out a little bit and was going the wrong way," Goolsbee said Thursday.

"But now, for a couple of months, we've been getting ⁠a ​little bit better readings and hopefully that will ​continue. But we're in that delicate space where the overall economy feels fairly stable and ​we're mostly watching the inflation component."

Reporting by Ann Saphir; Editing by Aurora Ellis

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