US stock futures fall as fading Iran peace prospects drive up oil, yields

Kitco Media
By Reuters
Published:
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Reuters
US stock futures fall as fading Iran peace prospects drive up oil, yields teaser image

Aug 18 (Reuters) - Futures tied to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq slipped ​on Tuesday, with oil holding near recent highs and government bond yields hitting multi-year peaks as chances ‌of a peace deal between the U.S. and Iran waned, rekindling inflation concerns.

Iran would shift to a "fully offensive" military posture because efforts to negotiate a permanent end to the war with the U.S. have stalled, a senior Iranian official told Reuters. Washington, too, has ruled out extending a temporary ​ceasefire agreement that expired on August 17.

The developments pushed Brent crude futures up 0.4% at around three-week highs.

The yield ​on the 30-year Treasury bond stood at its highest since 2007, while that on the benchmark ⁠10-year maturity held near its highest level since January 2025.

Heavyweight technology stocks came under pressure as high government bond yields ​potentially lower the present value of future tech profits and increase corporate borrowing costs.

Tesla (TSLA.O), and Nvidia (NVDA.O), led losses among growth stocks, ​down 1.4% and 2%, respectively, in premarket trading.

Semiconductor and chip-related companies also retreated. Micron Technology (MU.O), Marvell Technology (MRVL.O), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.O), and Intel (INTC.O), slid between 2% and 5%.

Data storage companies Sandisk (SNDK.O), and Western Digital (WDC.O), dipped about 6% each and were among the biggest decliners.

The CBOE Volatility Index (.VIX), commonly dubbed ​as Wall Street's "fear gauge", jumped to its highest in about two weeks.

Home Depot (HD.N), gained 2.3% after the home-improvement retailer beat ​Wall Street estimates for second-quarter sales, keeping Dow futures flat. Retail bellwether Walmart (WMT.O), is set to report on Thursday.

At 06:40 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were ‌up ⁠18 points, or 0.03%, S&P 500 E-minis were down 36.75 points, or 0.47% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 362.75 points, or 1.21%.

"Despite the angst about the path ahead for the Fed, whether a durable ceasefire can be achieved in the Middle East, or even where rising bond yields may peak, a focus on earnings growth should remain the key driver of equity ​returns," said Michael Lok, group CIO ​and co-CEO of asset ⁠management at UBP.

Strong earnings across several sectors, including some AI hyperscalers, had lifted the S&P 500 and the blue-chip Dow (.DJI), to all-time highs earlier this month. The next test for the ​AI trade could be Nvidia's (NVDA.O), earnings, due next week.

U.S. technology stocks have seen immense volatility in ​the past few ⁠months as investors remain nervous about whether hefty AI spending is paying off or not.

The benchmark S&P 500 (.SPX), closed lower in the previous session, backing away from record highs as higher crude oil prices revived inflation worries.

Money-market data showed traders still see a ⁠96% chance ​of a 25-basis-points rate hike this year, though odds of an increase as ​soon as September have come down following tame inflation data last week.

Minutes from the Federal Reserve's July meeting, due on Wednesday, could offer more clues about ​how the central bank is assessing the current environment.

Reporting by Shashwat Chauhan and Purvi Agarwal in Bengaluru; Editing by Shilpi Majumdar

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