Canadian dollar hits four-week high as market cheers Alberta remain vote

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
Canadian dollar hits four-week high as market cheers Alberta remain vote teaser image

TORONTO, Oct 20 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar strengthened to a four-week high against its US counterpart on Tuesday, boosted by a narrower gap between Canadian ​and US interest rates and after Alberta voted by a large ‌majority to remain part of Canada

The loonie was trading 0.5% higher at 1.4045 per US dollar, or 71.20 U.S. cents, after touching its strongest intraday level since September 22 ​at 1.4033. Among Group of 10 currencies, only sterling posted a ​bigger gain.

"The Canadian discount to the US has fallen sharply in ⁠the last few days which has helped fuel this correction in the ​Canadian dollar," said Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Capital Markets.

The gap ​between Canada's 2-year yield and the US equivalent has narrowed to 146 basis points from about 160 basis points earlier this month as investors raised bets on a Bank of ​Canada interest rate hike next week.

Swap market data indicates an 80% chance ​the BoC raises its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 2.50% on October ‌28. ⁠It follows hawkish comments by Governor Tiff Macklem on Saturday and evidence on Monday of rising long-term inflation expectations.

The remain side won 76% of tallied votes in Alberta's first-ever referendum on separation, handing Prime Minister Mark Carney a much-needed win as he ​attempts to unify the ​country amid a ⁠trade war with the US.

"The Alberta vote could not have gone better from a market perspective," Chandler said. "This is ​the least disruptive alternative because it preserves the status quo."

The ​price ⁠of oil, one of Canada's major exports, pulled back from its highest level since April as traders priced in Houthi attacks on Saudi infrastructure and reports of vessel ⁠attacks in ​the Gulf. U.S. crude oil futures were ​trading 0.9% lower at $102.75 a barrel.

Canadian government bond yields moved lower across the curve, with the 10-year ​down 6.8 basis points at 3.894%.

Reporting by Fergal Smith; Editing by Alistair Bell

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