Dollar weakens against euro, yen as Iran talks lift risk appetite

Kitco Media
By Reuters
Published:
Updated:
Reuters
Dollar weakens against euro, yen as Iran talks lift risk appetite teaser image

NEW YORK, Nov 9 (Reuters) - The dollar ​weakened against major currencies including the euro and yen on Monday as easing concerns ‌about an escalation in the Middle East conflict prompted investors to rotate back into risk assets following last week's selloff in artificial intelligence-linked stocks.

Sentiment improved after US President Donald Trump said on Sunday he was highly unlikely to order fresh attacks on Iran as ​long as diplomatic efforts continued. Trump is due to meet Qatar's Sheikh Mohammed on Monday as ​efforts to secure an end to the conflict gather pace.

The improved mood in ⁠markets also weighed on the safe-haven dollar, while Brent crude futures fell 3.4% to $94.99 a barrel.

The euro ​was last up 0.57% against the dollar at $1.1204. Against the Japanese yen , the dollar weakened 0.33% to ​158.01.

"One of the main issues in shorts and trading around the US dollar right now is positioning," said Enrique Diaz-Alvarez, chief economist at Ebury. "The portion of the market that is actively trading and speculating is very long US dollar, which ​means it's difficult for the dollar to rally. We expect the euro to rebound over the medium ​term because the market is perhaps underestimating the strength of the recovery in the euro zone."

Sterling rose 0.5% to $1.3415. ‌The dollar ⁠index , which measures the currency against six major rivals, dipped 0.37% to 101.84.

Wall Street's main indexes were trading higher on the day, led by the tech-heavy Nasdaq following a brutal selloff last week.

"The market is underestimating a little bit the impact of the midterm elections on the US economy in the sense that AI investment ​has been a significant ​part of US economic ⁠performance and, at the margin, this big political change in the US will be negative for such an investment," Diaz-Alvarez said.

US DATA IN VIEW

Investors will be ​eyeing Tuesday's US consumer price index data, which is expected to show ​a monthly rise ⁠of 0.3%, according to a Reuters poll.

Futures imply around 82% odds the US Federal Reserve will raise rates on December 9, higher than a week earlier, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. The yield on benchmark ⁠US 10-year ​notes rose 1.07 basis points to 4.87%.

The risk-sensitive Australian and ​New Zealand dollars also rallied. The Aussie rose 0.80% to $0.6912 and New Zealand's kiwi jumped 1.29% to $0.5616, with traders also weighing ​the implications of too-close-to-call weekend elections in New Zealand.

Reporting by Chibuike Oguh in New York; Editing by Nia Williams

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