My September 30, 2026 read starts with steady Bitcoin, preserves the still-possible stablecoin-dominance bounce and keeps unconfirmed intraday moves below confirmed closes.
Bitcoin is holding steady while the altcoin window stays open
BTC remains strong bullish above the daily TBO Cloud and has changed very little. A new support fan line comes into play this week, but I do not expect it to have a disastrous effect. My altcoin outlook remains conditional: I expect many ALTs to bounce through the end of the week, and if BTC stays steady into the weekend, those pumps can extend.
Stablecoin dominance can still bounce
Combined USDT and USDC dominance is still primed for a bullish bounce because the chart has lower lows while RSI has higher lows. That would represent a rise in stablecoin market share, not stablecoin spot price. Even with that pullback risk, my broader focus is buying crypto dips rather than treating a 3% or 20% pullback as a reason to abandon the thesis.
Altcoin dominance remains bullish after Tuesday’s pullback
OTHERS.D left another red pullback on Tuesday, but I remain bullish and expect it to push up to pierce the long-term resistance line. OTHERS.D measures market share outside the top 10; it is not the OTHERS dollar market-cap chart and it is not a spot-price call.
Broad altcoin market cap remains strong
TOTALE50, the dollar market-cap chart excluding the top 50, remains strong bullish above the Cloud. Its Slow line and OBV moving average are rising, and its TBT Wave is already above 6. TOTALE100 is similar, but its Wave is only about to move above 6 as of this writing, and a pullback could postpone that move. OTHERS remains very strong bullish, and I would treat a pullback to its Fast line as a dip-buying opportunity.
The dollar wicked above resistance without confirming a close
DXY wicked above TBO Resistance on Tuesday while RSI extended to 10 confirmed overbought bars. The chart did not show a confirmed close above resistance. A daily close above it would be the strong bullish confirmation signal, and I hope that does not happen.
Monero is holding its Fast line as a bounce candidate
XMR is another good bounce candidate. It is still holding its Fast line around 539.96, with TBO Resistance around 592.33. I am treating that as a conditional chart watch, not an entry, stop, leverage or execution instruction.
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