LONDON, April 24 (Reuters) - The Bank of England (BoE)
looks set to raise interest rates in May and possibly again
after that as it grapples with stubbornly high inflation,
analysts at Goldman Sachs said on Monday.
Britain's consumer price inflation stayed in double digits
at 10.1% in March, according to official data published last
week.
The Goldman analysts revised up their forecast for core
inflation at the end of this year to 4.7% from a previous
December 2023 forecast of 4.3%, but lowered their estimate for
December 2024 to 2.9% from 3.1%.
"Persistent inflationary pressures, continued strength in
wage growth and resilient activity data suggest that a 25 basis
point BoE hike at the upcoming May meeting is very likely and
our analysis points towards significant risk that more
tightening may be needed beyond that," they said.
Investors are currently putting a 98% probability on a 25
basis-point rate hike by the BoE to 4.5% on May 11 and see a
roughly 50-50 chance of two further quarter-point hikes by
August which would take Bank Rate to 5%.
(Writing by William Schomberg; editing by David Milliken)
Reuters Messaging: william.schomberg.reuters.com@reuters.net))
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