UPDATE 2-Ukraine 2023/24 wheat exports seen falling 37% to 8.8 mln T - APK-Inform

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
(Adds table) By Pavel Polityuk KYIV, April 25 (Reuters) - Ukraine's wheat exports are likely to fall 37% to 8.8 million tonnes in the 2023/24 July-June season due to an expected drop in the harvest and ending stocks, APK-Inform consultancy said on Tuesday. In its first forecast for the 2023/24 season, the consultancy said Ukraine's overall grain harvest could fall by 13% to 45.6 million tonnes from the previous season, including 16.2 million tonnes of wheat, 5.2 million tonnes of barley and 22.9 million tonnes of corn. Ukraine harvested a record 86 million tonnes of grain in 2021, including 32 million tonnes of wheat, before Russia's invasion of the country.


The agriculture ministry said this month the 2023 grain harvest could drop to 44.3 million tonnes from 53.1 million tonnes as large swathes of Ukrainian territory are occupied and mined. The country's grain sowing area could shrink by 1.4 million hectares to 10.2 million hectares this year, it added. APK-Inform said Ukraine's grain exportable surplus in the 2023/24 season can total 29.3 million tonnes, also including 2 million tonnes of barley and 18.2 million tonnes of corn. The consultancy said local consumption could amount to 17.8 million tonnes in 2023/24, or 7% less than the previous season.


APK-Inform also said Ukraine's 2023 sunflower seed harvest could increase by 15% to 12.8 million tonnes thanks to a larger sowing area. The larger harvest could allow Ukraine, a leading global sunflower oil producer and exporter, to increase sunoil output by 5% to 4.9 million tonnes in 2023/24 and export 4.5 million tonnes. The consultancy said farmers could also harvest 4.2 million tonnes of soy beans and 3.5 million tonnes of rape seed.


UKRAINE 2023/24, 2022/23 GRAIN HARVEST, EXPORTS (tonnes)
commodity harvest exports harvest exports 2023/24 2023/24 2022/23 2022/23 wheat 16,221,000 8,800,000 18,936,000 14,000,000 corn 22,883,000 18,200,000 26,670,000 23,500,000 barley 5,180,000 2,000,000 5,679,000 2,500,000 GRAIN 45,614,000 29,284,000 52,419,000 40,337,000 sunseed 12,782,000 1,400,000 11,154,000 2,280,000 sunoil 4,916,000 4,500,000 4,671,000 4,300,000 (source APK-Inform) (Reporting by Pavel Polityuk; Editing by Kirsten Donovan and Louise Heavens)

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