Inflation in Canada accelerates to 2.4% in December, but key measures ease

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
Inflation in Canada accelerates to 2.4% in December, but key measures ease teaser image

OTTAWA, Jan 19 (Reuters) - Consumer prices in Canada rose at a faster-than-expected pace of 2.4% ​in December, largely due to the base-year effect from last year's sales tax ‌break, but closely-watched core measures of inflation cooled for the third consecutive month, data showed on Monday.

Analysts polled by Reuters had forecast inflation would hold at the 2.2% rate recorded in November.

On a monthly basis, the consumer price index declined by 0.2%, Statistics Canada data showed. ‌The monthly decline was less than market expectations of a 0.3% decrease.

The ​Canadian central bank's preferred measures of core inflation, CPI-median and CPI-trim, continued to ease and were the lowest since December 2024. CPI-median - or the value at the middle of ‍the set of price changes in a month - cooled to 2.5% from 2.8% in November, while CPI-trim - which excludes the most extreme price changes - decreased to 2.7% from 2.9%.

The deceleration in core prices should ⁠keep the Bank of Canada at ease after the Bank held its key policy rate ‍steady at 2.25% in December, and said this was about the right level to keep inflation close ‌to ‌its 2% target. Money markets expect rates to stay on hold in 2026.

The rise in headline inflation in December was driven by a temporary sales tax break on certain food and children's items authorized by the previous Liberal government headed by Justin Trudeau in ⁠the comparative December 2024 ⁠period.

Restaurant prices, one of ​the segments affected by the tax holiday, were the largest contributor to the acceleration in the annual inflation rate in December 2025.

Moderating the acceleration in the annual rate was a year-over-year decline in ‍prices for gasoline, which fell 13.8% in December after a 7.8% decline in November.

Grocery prices, while unchanged month-over-month, rose 5% annually.

Excluding volatile food and energy, inflation rose 2.5% in the month.

Services price inflation rate ​in December accelerated to 3.3% from 2.8% in November, ‍while goods prices rose by 1.2% after 1.5% in the previous month.

On an annual average basis, prices increased 2.1% ​last year, following a 2.4% rise in 2024.

Reporting by Ismail Shakil; Editing by Dale Smith

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