Middle East shipping disruptions propel aluminium to four-year highs

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
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LONDON, March 9 (Reuters) - Aluminium prices hit four-year highs on Monday as fears of prolonged shipping disruptions in the Middle East due to ​the U.S.-Israeli war against Iran fuelled concerns about supplies of the ‌metal.

Benchmark aluminium was down 1.5% at $3,394 a metric ton at 1711 GMT from an earlier $3,544 a ton, the highest since March 2022 when prices of the metal used in transport, ​construction and packaging hit a record $4,073.50.

Conflict in the Middle East has ​virtually shut the Strait of Hormuz through which aluminium produced ⁠in the region is shipped to the U.S. and Europe.

"The Europeans are ​particularly concerned, as the Gulf aluminum stoppage comes just as long-term supplier Mozal ​is going offline this month," said Marex analyst Ed Meir.

"Some producers are looking to draw down stocks from outside the region so as to fulfill their obligations, but we ​suspect this is going to be difficult given the preponderance of Russian ​metal on the exchange (currently sanctioned) and generally low inventories otherwise."

In December, South32 <S32.AX> said its ‌560,000-metric-ton-per-year ⁠capacity Mozal smelter would be placed on care and maintenance from mid-March, after talks with utilities and Mozambique's government failed to yield a new power deal.

Worries about supplies have flipped the discount or contango for the cash aluminium contract ​over the three-month forward ​into a premium ⁠or backwardation. It climbed to $47.4 a ton on Friday, the highest since February 2022 and was last around $22 ​a ton.

Prices for aluminium along the maturity curve going ​out to ⁠2036 are backwardated .

Elsewhere, the oil price surge has raised the prospect of slowing global growth and weaker demand for industrial metals, which also came under pressure ⁠from ​the stronger dollar.

Copper gained 0.6% to $12,943 a ton, ​zinc climbed 0.9% to $3,327, lead was down 1% to $1,933, tin rose 0.3% to $50,235 and nickel ​ceded 0.5% to $17,385.

Reporting by Pratima Desai. Editing by Mark Potter and Tomasz Janowski

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