TSX futures tick lower on escalating Iran conflict, weaker metals

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
TSX futures tick lower on escalating Iran conflict, weaker metals teaser image

March 19 (Reuters) - Futures linked to Canada's main stock exchange inched lower on Thursday as an escalation in the Iran war following attacks on energy infrastructure ​across the Middle East jolted investors, while a slump in metal ‌prices added further pressure.

June futures on the S&P/TSX index were down 0.6% at 06:03 a.m. ET (1003 GMT).

Oil prices climbed again on Thursday with benchmark Brent hitting ​an over one-week high of more than $115 a barrel ​after Iran attacked energy facilities across the Middle East following ⁠Israel's strike on its South Pars gas field.

While the spike ​in oil prices has lifted Canadian energy stocks (.SPTTEN), up more than 34% this year, outperforming ​peers, it has put global central banks in a bind over their monetary policy outlook.

The U.S., Canadian and Japanese central banks, among others, struck hawkish tones on Wednesday, ​with the Federal Reserve projecting higher inflation and a single reduction in ​borrowing costs this year.

Money markets pushed rate cut bets to April 2027, not fully pricing ‌in ⁠one from the Fed this year, according to data compiled by LSEG.
"The Fed is choosing to look through the fog of conflict, for now. A dual mandate Fed is not going to rock the ​interest rate boat ​during a supply ⁠shock," said Jamie Cox, managing partner for Harris Financial Group.

Meanwhile, Bank of Canada warned of rate hikes ​this year to combat inflation, even as Canada remains ​better ⁠insulated from energy-driven price pressures than peers, being a net oil exporter.

The hawkish shift in expectations strengthened the dollar, dragging gold and silver to more than one-month lows ⁠and copper ​to a three-month low.

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Reporting by Purvi Agarwal in Bengaluru; Editing by Diti Pujara

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