Canadian factory PMI hits 3-month low as war adds to economic uncertainty

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
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April 1 (Reuters) - Canada's manufacturing sector stagnated in March as U.S. tariffs and uncertainty linked to the Middle East war led to a decline ​in output and raised input costs, data showed on Wednesday.

The ‌S&P Global Canada Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) fell to 50.0 last month from 51.0 in February, marking the lowest level in three months. A reading above 50 shows ​expansion in the sector, while a sub-50 reading shows contraction.

“Canada’s manufacturing ​sector again experienced subdued performance during March," Paul Smith, economics ⁠director at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said in a statement. "Production declined marginally ​and new orders were down modestly, in part linked to tariffs on trade ​with the neighbouring United States."

The output index dipped to 49.6 from 50.0 in February and the measure of new orders was at 48.7, down from 50.6. U.S. tariffs ​on critical sectors, such as autos, steel and aluminum have badly hampered ​Canadian exports.

“The conflict in the Middle East, which had a relatively muted impact on the ‌Canadian ⁠manufacturing sector compared to regions like Europe in March, has understandably raised the level of uncertainty in the outlook," Smith said.

"With tariffs also still a concern for many firms, confidence regarding production in the year ahead fell ​to a three-month ​low and remained ⁠way below its average level.”

The future output index fell to 55.4 from 57.5 in February.

Canada is a major producer ​of oil, which has soared in price since the ​start of ⁠the U.S.-Israel war on Iran on February 28.

Higher fuel prices along with tariffs contributed to increased input costs. The input price index edged up to 59.2 ⁠from ​59.1 in February, registering its highest level ​since August.

The Bank of Canada has warned it was ready to raise borrowing costs if higher energy ​prices risked turning into persistent inflation.

Reporting by Fergal Smith; Editing by Chizu Nomiyama

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