US rate futures see lower hike chances, higher odds of Fed pause

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
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NEW YORK, May 8 (Reuters) - U.S. interest rate futures on Friday scaled back ​expectations for a rate hike ‌by year-end and increased bets the Federal Reserve will stay on hold, ​after stronger-than-expected April job gains ​signaled continued resilience in the economy.

The ⁠market now expects just an ​18% chance of an interest rate ​increase at the Fed policy meeting in December, according to the CME's FedWatch. ​It was at roughly 23% ​late Thursday. At the same time, the chances ‌of ⁠the Fed keeping rates steady rose to 74.1%, compared with 70.1% the day before.

This move followed ​a government ​report ⁠that showed nonfarm payrolls increased by 115,000 jobs last ​month after an upwardly revised ​185,000 ⁠advance in March. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast payrolls rising ⁠by ​62,000 jobs after ​a previously reported 178,000 rebound in March.

Reporting by ​Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss; Editing by Chizu Nomiyama

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