Wall St futures fall as AI rally cools; inflation data in focus

Kitco Media
By Reuters
Published:
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Reuters
Wall St futures fall as AI rally cools; inflation data in focus teaser image

May 12 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures edged lower on ​Tuesday as a rally in chip stocks lost steam and hopes for a quick resolution to ‌the Middle East war faded, while investors looked ahead to a key inflation report.

President Donald Trump said a ceasefire with Iran was "on life support" after Tehran rejected a U.S. proposal to end the conflict, keeping oil prices elevated as the key Strait ​of Hormuz shipping route remained closed. Crude futures , climbed nearly 3%.

Although a strong earnings season has helped ​bolster market sentiment, the lack of progress in negotiations between Washington and Tehran remains ⁠a concern for market watchers as surging oil prices fuel worries of higher inflation.

A consumer inflation report due at 8:30 ​a.m. ET is expected to draw close scrutiny for signs of broader price pressures. The consumer price index ​is forecast to have risen 0.6% last month, after a 0.9% jump in March, according to a Reuters survey of economists.

"The risks are skewed to a hotter-than-expected increase in prices, and while headline numbers may not move the dial, a higher-than-forecast core ​number could at least put a temporary brake on market optimism," said Derren Nathan, head of equity research, ​Hargreaves Lansdown.

Markets are no longer pricing in policy easing in 2026 after rapid repricing in recent weeks. Ahead of the war, ‌traders ⁠had expected two rate cuts, per CME Group's FedWatch Tool, and briefly priced in chances of a rate hike about a month into the conflict.

Producer prices and retail sales data are also due this week, with investors turning to macroeconomic cues as the first-quarter earnings season draws to a close.

At 07:10 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 29 ​points, or 0.06%, and S&P ​500 E-minis were down ⁠28.5 points, or 0.38%. Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 242 points, or 0.82%.

All three major U.S. stock indexes advanced on Monday, with the S&P 500 (.SPX),and the Nasdaq (.IXIC),notching ​fresh record closing highs, supported by continued optimism around artificial intelligence and the health ​of Corporate ⁠America.

That AI-linked momentum cooled on Tuesday, with most chip stocks trading lower before the bell.
Intel (INTC.O),shares eased 3.9% in premarket trading after climbing more than 17% in the previous two sessions.

Among other movers, Hims & Hers Health (HIMS.N),tumbled 15% after the telehealth ⁠firm missed ​Wall Street estimates for first-quarter revenue and posted a surprise loss.

GameStop (GME.N),​slipped 4% after online marketplace eBay (EBAY.O),rejected the videogame retailer's $56 billion takeover bid. eBay was down 0.6%.

Venture Global (VG.N),rose 8.5% after the LNG exporter ​raised its annual adjusted core profit forecast.

Reporting by Ragini Mathur and Utkarsh Hathi in Bengaluru; Editing by Devika Syamnath

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