Citigroup lifts S&P 500 year-end target to 8,100 on earnings strength, AI 'supercycle'

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
Citigroup lifts S&P 500 year-end target to 8,100 on earnings strength, AI 'supercycle' teaser image

June 8 (Reuters) - Citigroup became the latest Wall Street brokerage to raise its 2026-end target for the S&P 500 (.SPX), index beyond ​the 8,000 mark, citing resilience in corporate earnings and ‌AI-driven growth.

The widely tracked benchmark index is up nearly 8% so far this year, but fell sharply on Friday following stronger-than-expected nonfarm payrolls data.

The brokerage lifted ​its index target to 8,100 from 7,700, implying an ​upside of roughly 10% from the index's last close.

The ⁠firm also raised its S&P 500 earnings-per-share forecast to $350 for 2026, ​up from $320 set in December 2025, and introduced a $400 preliminary target ​for 2027.

Citigroup joins a wave of bullish calls from brokerages that expect AI momentum and strong corporate earnings to offset the inflationary pressures and supply risks ​from the Middle East conflict in the short term.

"We have ​high confidence in continued earnings beats through year-end," Citigroup said in a note ‌dated ⁠June 5.

However, Citi warned that the "persistence of AI-driven growth beyond 2027 remains a key question."

"Our view is that this is not a traditional cycle and looks more like a one-time capex supercycle... thus ​increasing the burden ​on earnings ⁠growth and related expectation to drive index price action."

Citi strategists said that while AI-related ecosystems are expected ​to expand beyond technology firms, attention will eventually ​shift ⁠to whether U.S. companies can deliver on the productivity gains promised by AI, beyond 2027.

"Beyond that (2027)...we need to acknowledge some degree of deceleration (if ⁠not ​decline) in spending will eventually set up ​for an equity market hangover effect. But that is not currently in the line ​of sight."

Reporting by Kanchana Chakravarty in Bengaluru; Editing by Harikrishnan Nair

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