Coinbase shares take hit on quarterly loss, analysts back diversification strategy

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
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July 31 (Reuters) - Shares of Coinbase Global (COIN.O), slipped 5.6% ​in premarket trading on Friday after a third straight quarterly loss, though analysts ‌expect strong fundamentals and business diversity to cushion it from a crypto cycle downturn.

The cryptocurrency market lost significant value in recent sessions, with bitcoin falling, as expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve ​will cut interest rates faded and investors pulled money from spot exchange-traded ​funds.

Bitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has lost a little over 27% ⁠value so far in 2026. Shares of Coinbase, often tied to the crypto cycle, ​have matched that with a nearly 28% decline.

The fall came after higher-than-expected inflation data ​reinforced expectations that the central bank would keep rates elevated for longer, weighing on risk-sensitive assets such as cryptocurrencies.

"Overall, crypto trading conditions remain challenging, and with limited visibility into when/if trading volumes will ​recover," analysts at Raymond James said.

GAINING GROUND ON SHAKY SOIL

Analysts pegged the quarterly ​loss to the crypto cycle, believing that its business fundamentals remain good and Coinbase would be at ‌the ⁠center of any possible crypto market recovery.

"The company posted its third consecutive quarter of record crypto trading market share at 10.3%, proving it continues to take share even in a softer crypto environment," said David Bartosiak, Stock Strategist at Zacks Investment Research.

"More ​importantly, the business mix ​keeps improving."

The company ⁠has diversified its revenue stream and moved away from spot Bitcoin trading to guard against such downturns. It is actively rowing ​the shores of stablecoins and retail derivatives, which could support its ​business long-term.

Coinbase ⁠and prediction markets platform Kalshi said in May that they were introducing perpetual crypto futures, marking the debut of such instruments to U.S. investors through domestic, regulated exchanges.

"We are ⁠encouraged ​that Coinbase is diversifying its business and think investors ​will applaud derivatives-driven share gains," William Blair said in a note. Its analysts believe that now is ​the time to buy Coinbase shares.

Reporting by Pritam Biswas in Bengaluru; Editing by Joyjeet Das

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