Gold rises to over two-month peak as US inflation data dampens rate hike bets

Kitco Media
By Reuters
Published:
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Reuters
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Aug 12 (Reuters) - Gold rose to a more than two-month high on Wednesday after a U.S. inflation ‌reading matched expectations, bolstering bets that the Federal Reserve will keep rates on hold in September.

Spot gold rose 0.9% to $4,406.64 per ounce by 1:30 p.m. EDT (1730 GMT), and climbed above the 100-day ​moving average, which is currently at $4,387.22. Bullion climbed more than 1% to its ​highest level since June 5 earlier in the session.

U.S. gold futures ⁠settled 0.6% higher at $4,467.5.

U.S. consumer inflation increased slightly in July, potentially weakening the argument for ​an interest rate hike from the Fed next month. It edged up 0.1% last ​month, on par with estimates, after dropping 0.4% in June.

"The CPI data has been encouraging. It was higher than last month, but it was in line with estimates, along with a weaker dollar ​and technicals which have all helped gold piggyback on it," Marex analyst Edward Meir ​said.

Traders are now pricing in about a 40% chance of an interest rate hike at the ‌Fed's ⁠September meeting, down from 46% before the inflation data, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. FEDWATCH/

The Fed, on July 29, left the benchmark policy rate unchanged in the 3.50% to 3.75% range, though three of 12 voting policymakers dissented, favoring a rate hike instead.

A ​higher interest rate environment ​tends to reduce ⁠the appeal of non-yielding gold.

Attention now shifts to the Producer Price Index (PPI), due on Thursday.

Meanwhile, the U.S. and Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis reported ​separate attacks on shipping on Tuesday as prospects for ending the Iran ​war appeared ⁠to dim.

"A resumption of the hostilities can make oil move back up towards the $100 mark, in which case you could see interest rates move up and gold could struggle," ⁠Meir said.

Among ​other metals, spot silver rose 1.3% to $65.49 per ​ounce, having hit its highest level since June 22 earlier in the session.

Platinum rose 0.9% to $1,759.50, and palladium ​gained 0.5% to $1,367.23.

Reporting by Sukanya Mitra in Bengaluru; Editing by Leroy Leo and Diti Pujara

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