Gold firms on weaker dollar as inflation data cements rate hold bets

Kitco Media
By Reuters
Published:
Updated:
Reuters
Gold firms on weaker dollar as inflation data cements rate hold bets teaser image

Aug 14 (Reuters) - Gold advanced on ‌Friday, buoyed by a weaker dollar after in-line U.S. inflation readings this week tipped the scales in favor of an interest rate hold by the Federal Reserve next month.

Spot gold gained 0.6% to $4,376.02 per ​ounce by 9:09 a.m. EDT (1309 GMT). Prices declined 1.3% in the previous session ​on profit-taking after touching their highest level since June 5. Bullion is ⁠up around 0.7% for the week so far.

U.S. gold futures rose 0.3% to $4,433.90.

"The lower U.S. dollar ​index is a friendly outside market that's supporting gold today," said Jim Wyckoff, a market ​analyst at American Gold Exchange.

The U.S. dollar index slipped 0.3%, making greenback-priced bullion more affordable for buyers overseas.

Gold drew support from an unexpected decline in U.S. nonfarm payrolls in July, and inflation readings this week that ​were largely in line with expectations. This significantly lowered expectations of an increase in interest ​rates next month, with most analysts now seeing the central bank holding the current 3.50% to 3.75% ‌range.

Markets ⁠are pricing in a 31% chance of a rate hike at the September meeting, down from about 55% last week, according to CME's FedWatch Tool. FEDWATCH

"As we expect the Fed not to raise interest rates, gold price therefore still has further upside potential," Commerzbank said in ​a note.
Lower interest rates ​tend to support ⁠non-yielding gold.

Meanwhile, transit through the Strait of Hormuz appeared to grind to a near-standstill after two more ships were attacked and the United ​States said it could maintain a naval blockade of Iran indefinitely.

Oil ​prices were on ⁠track for weekly gains on the news.

"If crude oil prices continue to rise, that's going to be a bearish element for the metals market because it would aid inflation and prompt central banks ⁠to ​raise interest rates," Wyckoff said.

Elsewhere, gold discounts in India widened ​to more than two-month highs.

Spot silver climbed 1% to $65.08 per ounce, platinum gained 0.9% to $1,733.34, and palladium rose 0.9% ​to $1,318.50.

Reporting by Sukanya Mitra in Bengaluru, additional reporting by Anjana Anil; Editing by Joyjeet Das

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