Gold edges up as October rate hike bets ease, stronger dollar cap gains

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
Gold edges up as October rate hike bets ease, stronger dollar cap gains teaser image

Oct 5 (Reuters) - Gold prices advanced on Monday, supported by continued worries about rising US government debt and fading expectations of an immediate Federal Reserve rate hike, although a firmer dollar limited gains.

Spot gold rose 0.4% ​to $4,159.89 per ounce by 1138 GMT. U.S. gold futures for December delivery added 0.64% ​to $4,188.70.

"We continue to view rising government debt levels as a structural tailwind ⁠for the yellow metal," said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo, noting the bullion is holding ​up relatively well despite headwinds from higher interest rates and a stronger US dollar.

In August, total ​US debt topped $40 trillion for the first time, drawing fresh warnings that a fiscal crisis is brewing.

The US dollar index (.DXY), rose 0.3%, making dollar-denominated metals more expensive for holders of other currencies.

In focus now are the ​minutes for the September Federal Open Market Committee meeting, which could help investors gauge ​the central bank's future monetary policy after the Fed last month delivered its first rate increase in three ‌years.

Expectations ⁠of Fed tightening its policy this month eased sharply after US job growth slowed more than expected in September, and the nonfarm payrolls figures for the prior two months was revised significantly lower, data showed on Friday.

While traders now only see an 18% probability of a Fed ​rate hike in October, ​they are still ⁠pricing in a 69% chance of an increase in December, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

Oil prices fell on Monday as rising Middle ​East crude exports and a release of oil stocks by the Group ​of Seven ⁠nations boosted supplies, somewhat easing inflation concerns.

Gold is traditionally considered an inflation hedge, but tends to lose its appeal to yield-bearing assets in a high-interest-rate environment.

On the geopolitical front, Yemen’s Saudi-backed, internationally ⁠recognised ​government said on Sunday it was launching a major military ​campaign to recapture all areas controlled by the Iran-backed Houthis.

Among other metals, silver jumped 2.3% to $61.7967 per ounce, platinum ​gained 1.7% to $1,727.82 and palladium added 1.1% to $1,181.18.

(This story has been corrected to say that US debt topped $40 trillion in August, not last month, in paragraph 4.)

Reporting by Elizaveta Zhuravleva in Gdansk, and Louise Heavens

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