Gold retreats on stronger dollar; traders brace for Fed

Kitco Media
By Reuters
Published:
Updated:
Reuters
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Oct 27 (Reuters) - Gold prices fell on Tuesday as a ‌stronger dollar weighed on bullion, while investors awaited the US Federal Reserve's policy meeting for clues on the interest-rate outlook, including the possibility of future hikes, even as the central bank is widely expected to ​stand pat this week.

Spot gold dropped 0.4% to $4,000.52 per ounce by 1042 GMT. ​U.S. gold futures for December delivery fell 0.6% to $4,014.40 per ounce.

The ⁠US dollar (.DXY), rose 0.3% against a basket of major currencies, hitting a nearly two-week ​high and making dollar-priced gold more expensive for holders of other currencies.

"Gold remains under pressure ​from a stronger US dollar and elevated Treasury yields, as persistent inflation concerns, driven by high oil prices, reinforce expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain a restrictive monetary policy stance," said Ricardo ​Evangelista, ActivTrades director and CEO.

Oil prices rose on Tuesday, with Brent crude hovering around $116 ​a barrel, as renewed Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia highlighted persistent supply risks in the Middle East.

Policymakers ‌have ⁠signaled they will not raise rates this week, but with persistent inflation concerns still in focus, investors believe the pause will not last long.

Traders are pricing in an 82% probability of a US rate hike in December, according to the CME's FedWatch Tool.

The outlook for ​global monetary policy remains ​in focus as ⁠other major central banks also meet this week. The Bank of Japan's meeting follows the Fed's, while the European Central Bank is ​set to leave rates unchanged on Thursday.

Higher rates increase the ​opportunity cost ⁠of holding non-yielding gold.

Investors also await US Personal Consumption Expenditures data due on Thursday, the gauge the Fed watches most closely as it targets 2% inflation.

"A hawkish message or stronger-than-expected PCE ⁠inflation ​could push gold below $4,000, potentially towards $3,900," Evangelista added.

Among other ​metals, spot silver fell 1.3% to $53.23 per ounce, platinum lost 1.7% to $1,501.30 and palladium dropped 2.9% to $1,019.50.

Reporting by Sherin Sans in Bengaluru; Editing by Sonia Cheema and Jonathan Ananda

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