Gold slips on higher oil prices ahead of Fed decision

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
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Oct 28 (Reuters) - Gold prices edged lower ‌on Wednesday as inflation worries simmered over high oil prices, while investors awaited the Federal Reserve's policy decision later in the day.

Spot gold edged 0.2% lower $4,050.55 per ounce by 1249 GMT. U.S. ​gold futures for December delivery fell 0.2% to $4,064.60 per ounce.

Oil prices rose ​over 1% after an attack on a refinery in Saudi Arabia, the ⁠world's top crude exporter, renewed concerns about supply risks because of conflicts in ​the Middle East.

"The rise in oil prices and the risk that it results in ​the Fed taking a more hawkish stance than market participants expect appears to be weighing on gold prices," said Hamad Hussain, climate and commodities economist at Capital Economics.

Elevated energy prices bolster expectations ​of higher-for-longer interest rates, increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold.

The Fed is ​widely expected to leave its benchmark interest rate unchanged when it announces its decision at 1800 ‌GMT. ⁠Traders are pricing in an 83% probability of a hike in December, according to CME's FedWatch Tool, opens new tab.

Investors also await US Personal Consumption Expenditures data, due on Thursday, a gauge the Fed watches closely as it targets 2% inflation.

"Should PCE come in soft and ​the Fed fall short ​of hawkish expectations, ⁠bullion could push higher," said Nikos Tzabouras, an independent financial markets analyst.

Analysts cut their 2026 gold price forecast for a second ​straight quarter due to high Treasury yields, a strong US ​dollar and ⁠expectations that rates will stay higher for longer, but still expect a recovery in 2027, a Reuters survey showed.

Additionally, analysts and traders cut their platinum and palladium price forecasts for ⁠2026 for ​a third straight quarter, a Reuters survey showed.

Among other ​metals, spot silver fell 0.5% to $54.09, platinum rose 0.1% to $1,542.22, and palladium dropped 0.4% to $1,022.44.
Reporting by Sherin Sans in Bengaluru; Editing by Harikrishnan Nair and Varun H K

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