Natural gas is bearish but holding exhaustion 8/2/22

Kitco Media
By Moor Analytics
Published:
Updated:
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On a macro basis: The trade above 2661 (-.5 of a tic per/hour) brought in 7003 tics of higher trade. We left a medium-term bullish reversal below on 6/1 that warned of renewed strength for days/weeks. We have seen 6597 tics from 3067 so far. The trade above 3108-09 attained 6555 tics. On 2/15 we left a moderate bullish formation below that warned of higher trade for days—we saw 5092 tics from the 4572 close. The decent trade above 4962 (-1 tic per/hour) projects this upward 200 tics minimum, 740 tics (+) maximum—we rallied 4702 tics. The break above 5047 also projects this upward 1300 tics (+).We have attained 4617 tics. All of the above are ON HOLD.

On a shorter-term basis: We held exhaustion below with a 5324 low and rallied 4095 tics. The decent trade above 5559 has brought in 3860 tics. These are ON HOLD. The decent trade below 8724 (+11.5 tics per/hour) put this below a steep formation that projects this downward. We have seen 992 tics from the pullback to where it came in at 8745.The decent trade below 8027 (+6.5 tics per/hour) projects this down further. We have seen 274 tics so far. If we break back above decently, look for decent short covering—this will come in at 8272 (+6.5 tics per/hour starting at 8:00am).I would caution that we may be in a lower timeframe last stretch of the structure down from the highs, and we aware of possible exhaustion levels below at 7662-606, 7416-268, 6913-871 and lower. LINK TO ANALYSIS ON WEBSITE. 

NOTE: this is just a small portion of the market calls I provide my clients twice daily in the Natural Gas and Energy/Gold complex. 'Decent penetrations' are specific amounts provided to clients daily as well. If you are interested, please feel free to reach out.

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Moor Analytics

Michael Moor is the Principal of MOOR ANALYTICS, the #1 large-prediction published analytics subscription on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) for over 10 years; providing actionable trading and hedging strategies in the Energies and Gold for Proprietary Traders, Hedge Funds, and industry companies. Michael studied Management and Finance at Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute (R.P.I.) in order to get a more technical financial background. He started his career in the markets with Citibank, and then Chicago Research and Trading (C.R.T.) on the floor of the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) working with futures and options pit traders. He developed a reputation for consistently making some of the largest directional predictions in the industry, and started Moor Analytics at the request of Natural Gas and Crude Oil traders in 2001. This grew to encompass over ¼ the NYMEX membership as clients. He has since also included European Energies and Gold, and currently has proprietary traders, hedge funds, and industry companies as clientele. He is a devoted husband and father, and employs time as a volunteer over the local prison ministry giving new direction and hope to those incarcerated.

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