Bitcoin confirmed its close above the old TBO Resistance, altcoin-dominance warnings are forming but unconfirmed, market-cap momentum is still bullish, and DXY confirmed a second breakout.
Bitcoin remains bullish while two scenarios stay equally likely
Bitcoin / TetherUS · 1D · Binance
BTC confirmed Sunday’s close above the old TBO Resistance, then Monday’s high created a new resistance level. I think a break below the next short-term support fan line this week is likely. I also think an ascending-wedge breakout toward the 0.618 Fib at $93,650 is just as likely. I still expect a roughly 20% pullback, but not immediately; that is my personal view, not an objective guarantee.
The OTHERS.D warning is forming, not confirmed
Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding Top 10 Dominance, % · 1D · CRYPTOCAP
OTHERS.D is working on a second TBT Bearish Divergence, but the daily candle still had about 18 hours left. If it holds through confirmation, I plan to sell 30% of all my ALT positions for stables. Until then, that sale is conditional, not an action already taken. OTHERS.D is market share, not spot price.
A second dominance warning needs candle confirmation
Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding Top 100 Dominance, % · 1D · CRYPTOCAP
TOTALE100.D is also working on a TBT Bearish Divergence with the same unfinished daily-candle caveat. The chart measures market share, not spot price. I am waiting for candle confirmation before becoming more defensive.
Market-cap momentum remains strongly bullish
Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding Top 100, $ · 1D · CRYPTOCAP
TOTALE100’s separate dollar market-cap chart has its TBT Wave above 6, the bullish momentum threshold. OTHERS is also still very strong bullish. Those market-cap readings can coexist with forming warnings on OTHERS.D and TOTALE100.D because dominance measures market share, not spot price or dollar market cap.
The dollar confirmed a second breakout
U.S. Dollar Index · 1D · TVC
DXY printed a second TBO Breakout on Monday and is working toward the 0.5 Fib level. That is a confirmed breakout, not a forming signal. I see the strong dollar as a possible catalyst for a sudden crypto dip, so I want to be prepared to buy weakness rather than assume it must happen.
BNB offers a conditional dip zone
Binance Coin / TetherUS · 1D · Binance
BNB is working on another TBT Bearish Divergence Cluster, yet its chart remains super strong bullish and could still bounce from the Fast line. If the Fast-line bounce fails, I see the Slow line at 646.01 as a great dip-buy zone. I did not give a stop, position size, leverage, or immediate entry.
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