CEE MARKETS-FX stabilises after hit from surging dollar

By Alan Charlish WARSAW, Feb 7 (Reuters) - Central European currencies stabilised on Tuesday, as a rally in the dollar paused and attention turned to interest rate decisions in Poland and Romania. The dollar firmed on Monday after strong data from the U.S. jobs market suggested interest rates in the world's largest economy will stay higher for longer, at a time when central European policymakers look to have brought their tightening cycles to an end. The Polish and Romanian central banks are both expected to keep their main interest rates on hold at 6.75% and 7.00% respectively this week. "The past session brought a strong sell-off of emerging market currencies, with those from central and eastern Europe among the biggest fallers," PKO BP analysts said in a note. "The increase in volatility on risky assets causes the fluctuation band for pairs with the zloty to expand, and in the case of EUR/PLN it means that the test below the level of 4.70 was unsuccessful and the pair is moving in the short term in the range of 4.70-4.75." At 0931 GMT the Polish zloty was 0.05% weaker against the euro at 4.7480, while the Romanian leu was 0.09% weaker at 4.9025. The Hungarian forint firmed 0.75% to 392.70. "It seems that the market is now generating some kind of correction... now it seems we reached a level where investors and corporate clients are jumping in," said Peter Virovacz, senior economist at ING in Hungary. The Czech crown was flat at 23.856, remaining unmoved by a weaker-than-expected reading for retail sales in December. "People left 7% more money in stores but took away 7.3% less goods," said Creditas bank economist Petr Dufek. "High inflation, the associated decline in real incomes and not very optimistic consumer sentiment will be a hindrance to shopping in the first half of this year as well." CEE SNAPSHO AT

MARKETS T 1031

CET

CURRENC

IES

Latest Previou Daily Change s

bid close change in 2023 EURCZK Czech <EURCZK 23.8560 23.8570 +0.00% +1.27% = crown =>
EURHUF Hungary <EURHUF 392.700 395.650 +0.75% +1.72% = forint => 0 0
EURPLN Polish <EURPLN 4.7480 4.7455 -0.05% -1.23% = zloty =>
EURRON Romanian <EURRON 4.9025 4.8980 -0.09% +0.82% = leu =>
EURHRK Croatian <EURHRK 7.5330 7.5365 +0.05% +0.05% = kuna =>
EURRSD Serbian <EURRSD 117.350 117.345 -0.00% -0.04% = dinar => 0 0

Note: calculated from 1800

daily CET

change

Latest Previou Daily Change s

close change in 2023 .PX Prague 1355.09 1353.88 +0.09% +12.76 00 % .BUX Budapest 44943.9 44793.8 +0.34% +2.63% 8 5
.WIG20 Warsaw <.WIG20 1869.93 1864.76 +0.28% +4.35% >
.BETI Buchares 12343.8 12284.6 +0.48% +5.83% t 7 3
.SBITO Ljubljan <.SBITO 1156.20 1156.69 -0.04% +10.24 P a P> % .CRBEX Zagreb <.CRBEX 2129.39 2132.96 -0.17% +710.3 > 6% .BELEX Belgrade <.BELEX 863.15 865.18 -0.23% +4.67% 15 15>
.SOFIX Sofia <.SOFIX 612.92 612.00 +0.15% +1.90% >

Yield Yield Spread Daily (bid) change vs Bund change in Czech spread Republic
CZ2YT= 2-year <CZ2YT= 5.7060 -0.0490 +310bp -5bps RR RR> s
CZ5YT= 5-year <CZ5YT= 4.8760 -0.0220 +258bp -3bps RR RR> s
CZ10YT <CZ10YT 4.4720 -0.0100 +218bp -2bps =RR 10-year =RR> s

Poland
PL2YT= 2-year <PL2YT= 6.0450 0.0750 +344bp +7bps RR RR> s
PL5YT= 5-year <PL5YT= 5.8080 -0.0170 +351bp -2bps RR RR> s
PL10YT <PL10YT 5.9140 0.0350 +362bp +2bps =RR 10-year =RR> s

FORWARD

3x6 6x9 9x12 3M interba nk Czech <CZKFRA 7.14 6.83 6.20 7.20 Rep ><PRIBO

R=>

Hungary <HUFFRA 14.30 12.56 11.06 16.05 ><BUBOR

=>

Poland <PLNFRA 6.96 6.86 6.45 6.91 ><WIBOR

=>

Note: are for ask

FRA prices

quotes

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(Reporting by Alan Charlish in Warsaw, Krisztina Than in Budapest, Jan Lopatka in Prague; Editing by Sharon Singleton)

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