EMERGING MARKETS-U.S.-China tension, rate rise worries pull down EM stocks, FX

Kitco Media
By Reuters
Published:
Updated:
Reuters



*


Turkey's earthquake to keep inflation above 40% - official

*


South Africa's Eskom puts CFO Cassim in charge



*


EM stocks down over 1%, FX slips 0.5% against muted dollar



By Shubham Batra and Amruta Khandekar Feb 24 (Reuters) - Emerging market stocks fell over 1% on Friday, on track for their fourth weekly decline, as U.S.-China tension weighed on sentiment, while investors awaited U.S. inflation data for signs on the Federal Reserve's interest rate rise trajectory. The MSCI EM equities index slipped 1.4% and was set for a weekly fall of 2.5%.


Geopolitical tensions added to a downbeat mood driven by fears of more interest rate rises by the Fed, with two U.S. officials saying on Thursday that the United States was set to expand the number of troops helping train Taiwanese forces, at a time of heightened tension with China. China's yuan fell to seven-week lows against the dollar, while Chinese stocks closed down 1%, weighing across EM assets. Investors will also closely monitor data on the personal consumption index (PCE), the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, to try to assess the pace of interest rate increases. The data, expected at 1330 GMT, is likely to show core PCE, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, moderated slightly on a yearly basis in January from a month ago. "There are geopolitical tensions, not just Taiwan, but Russia-Ukraine as well. I think these are probably less of a risk than U.S. interest rates and the dollar uncertainty," said Jon Harrison, managing director, EM Macro Strategy at TS Lombard.


Emerging market stocks had a bumper start to 2023 but equities pulled back sharply in February falling 5.5% as signs of strength in the U.S. economy brought worries about interest rates staying higher for longer.


Regional currencies were down 0.5%, set for their third weekly decline. In central and eastern Europe, Hungary's forint was flat against the euro.


The Turkish lira hit a record low, weakening to beyond 18.88 against the dollar, with a government official saying that the recent earthquake disaster would keep inflation above 40% in the run-up to elections scheduled for June.


The South African rand edged 0.7% lower against the dollar as investors were reluctant to price more risk into local markets. South African state power utility Eskom has appointed its chief financial officer, Calib Cassim, as interim chief executive officer with immediate effect after the current CEO was asked to leave. In India, the venue for a G20 financial leaders meeting, U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen accused Russian officials of being "complicit" in atrocities in Ukraine, while host India avoided mentioning the year-long war in inaugural remarks. (Reporting by Shubham Batra and Amruta Khandekar in Bengaluru; Editing by Robert Birsel)


Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.